/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fbaylog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmailog.png)
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Leroy Sane
27'
-
Michael Olise
40'
-
Harry Kane
45'+1'
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Eric Dier
84'
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Konrad Laimer
86'
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Phillipp Mwene
36'
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Nadiem Amiri
89'
Bayern Munich vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F15%2Fleroy-sane.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 75.47%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 10.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 3-0 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.16%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result
Bayern Munich
75.47%
▲
(+0.53)
Draw
14.23%
▼
(-0.14)
Mainz 05
10.3%
▼
(-0.39)
Both Teams to Score:
58.84%
▼
(-1.07)
Goals
Over 2.5
73.24%
▼
(-0.57)
Under 2.5
26.76%
▲
(+0.58)
Over 3.5
52.81%
▼
(-0.73)
Under 3.5
47.19%
▲
(+0.73)
Over 4.5
33.37%
▼
(-0.70)
Under 4.5
66.63%
▲
(+0.70)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5
94.07%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
5.93%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
77.33%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 1.5
22.67%
▲
(+0.10)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5
62.55%
▼
(-1.11)
Under 0.5
37.45%
▲
(+1.11)
Over 1.5
25.77%
▼
(-1.11)
Under 1.5
74.23%
▲
(+1.11)
Score analysis
Bayern Munich
75.47%
Draw
14.23%
Mainz 05
10.3%
Bayern Munich
2-0
@
8.86%
▲
(+0.28)
2-1 @ 8.7% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 8.35% ▲ (+0.25)
3-1 @ 8.2% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.27% ▲ (+0.21)
4-0 @ 5.9% ▲ (+0.17)
4-1 @ 5.79% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.13)
5-0 @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.09)
5-1 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.10)
5-2 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.06)
6-0 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.04)
6-1 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 5.21%
Total : 75.47%
2-1 @ 8.7% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 8.35% ▲ (+0.25)
3-1 @ 8.2% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.27% ▲ (+0.21)
4-0 @ 5.9% ▲ (+0.17)
4-1 @ 5.79% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.13)
5-0 @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.09)
5-1 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.10)
5-2 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.06)
6-0 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.04)
6-1 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 5.21%
Total : 75.47%
Draw
1-1
@
6.16%
▲
(+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.27% ▼ (-0.13)
0-0 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 14.23%
2-2 @ 4.27% ▼ (-0.13)
0-0 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 14.23%
Mainz 05
1-2
@
3.03%
▼
(-0.09)
0-1 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 10.3%
0-1 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 10.3%