Bundesliga | Gameweek 31
Apr 26, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Bayern3 - 0Mainz
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Heidenheim 0-4 Bayern
Saturday, April 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, April 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 2-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, April 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, April 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
48
We said: Bayern Munich 3-2 Mainz 05
Bayern Munich could prove to be defensively frail on Saturday considering their backline is depleted. While other opponents would likely be able to take advantage of the Bavarians' weaknesses, Mainz's form coming into the clash is poor, and the hosts may therefore move one step closer to securing the title. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 75.47%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 10.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 3-0 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.16%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Mainz 05 |
75.47% ( 0.52) | 14.23% ( -0.13) | 10.3% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 58.84% ( -1.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
