Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 30

Apr 19, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Mewa Arena

Mainz
2 - 2
Wolfsburg

Jae-sung (37'), Kohr (40')
Kohr (51'), Veratschnig (67')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Arnold (3'), Vavro (89')
Tomas (68'), Vavro (90+3'), Maehle (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions

Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-0 Mainz
Saturday, April 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Wolfsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-3 RB Leipzig
Friday, April 11 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Wolfsburg
44.73% ( -0.92)	25.72% ( -0.11)	29.55% ( 1.03)

Both teams to score 53.08% (

0.97)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.27% (

0.97)

50.72% (

-0.97)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.38% (

0.85)

72.62% (

-0.85)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.38% (

-0.01)

22.62% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.76% (

-0.02)

56.24% (

0.02)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.6% (

1.26)

31.4% (

-1.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.22% (

1.44)

67.77% (

-1.44)

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 44.73%

Wolfsburg 29.55%

Draw 25.71%

Mainz 05	Draw	Wolfsburg
1-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.42) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.32) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.16% Total : 44.73%	1-1 @ 12.22% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.71%	0-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.87% Total : 29.55%