Bundesliga Gameweek 28
Union Berlin
Apr 6, 2025 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Wolfsburg
  • Benedict Hollerbach 63' goal
  • yellowcard Yannick Gerhardt 77'

Union Berlin vs Wolfsburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions
Last game
Mar 30, 2025 2.30pm
Freiburg 1 - 2 Union Berlin
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Benedict Hollerbach

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Last game
Mar 29, 2025 2.30pm
Wolfsburg 0 - 1 Heidenheim
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Mohamed El Amine Amoura

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result

Union Berlin 33.95% ▲ (+1.39)
Draw 25.89% ▲ (+0.63)
Wolfsburg 40.16% ▼ (-2.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.26% ▼ (-1.71)

Goals

Over 2.5 50% ▼ (-2.39)
Under 2.5 50% ▲ (+2.39)
Over 3.5 28.02% ▼ (-2.17)
Under 3.5 71.98% ▲ (+2.17)
Over 4.5 13.33% ▼ (-1.48)
Under 4.5 86.67% ▲ (+1.48)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5 71.91% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 0.5 28.08% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 1.5 36.25% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 1.5 63.75% ▲ (+0.38)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5 75.45% ▼ (-2.06)
Under 0.5 24.55% ▲ (+2.06)
Over 1.5 40.96% ▼ (-2.98)
Under 1.5 59.04% ▲ (+2.98)

Score analysis

Union Berlin 33.95%
Draw 25.89%
Wolfsburg 40.16%
Union Berlin
1-0 @ 8.76% ▲ (+0.76)
2-1 @ 7.81% ▲ (+0.17)
2-0 @ 5.56% ▲ (+0.44)
3-1 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.17)
3-2 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.12)
4-1 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 33.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.29% ▲ (+0.35)
0-0 @ 6.9% ▲ (+0.65)
2-2 @ 5.48% ▼ (-0.23)
3-3 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.89%
Wolfsburg
0-1 @ 9.68% ▲ (+0.36)
1-2 @ 8.64% ▼ (-0.28)
0-2 @ 6.8% ▼ (-0.16)
1-3 @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.39)
0-3 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.28)
2-3 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.27)
1-4 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.24)
0-4 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.18)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 40.16%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 11
Wolfsburg
Nov 23, 2024 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Union Berlin
  • Patrick Wimmer 15' yellowcard
  • Bote Baku 71' goal
  • yellowcard Kevin Vogt 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Laszlo Benes 90'+3'
Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Union Berlin
Feb 10, 2024 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Olympiastadion Berlin
Wolfsburg
  • Danilho Doekhi 45'+25' goal
  • Jerome Roussillon 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Niko Kovac 45'+26'
  • yellowcard Maximilian Arnold 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Pavao Pervan 90'+5'
Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Wolfsburg
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Union Berlin
  • Jonas Wind 12' goal
  • Joakim Maehle 30' goal
  • Mattias Svanberg 78' yellowcard
  • goal Robin Gosens 28'
Bundesliga Gameweek 24
Wolfsburg
Mar 12, 2023 6.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Union Berlin
  • Patrick Wimmer 84' goal
  • goal Josip Juranovic 72'
DFB-Pokal
Union Berlin
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Wolfsburg
  • Robin Knoche 12' goal
  • Kevin Behrens 79' goal
  • goal Gian-Luca Waldschmidt 5'
Bundesliga Gameweek 7
Union Berlin
Sep 18, 2022 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Wolfsburg
  • Theoson Siebatcheu 54' goal
  • Sheraldo Becker 77' goal

Form Data

Freiburg 1 - 2 Union Berlin
Union Berlin 1 - 1 Bayern
Frankfurt 1 - 2 Union Berlin
Union Berlin 0 - 1 Holstein Kiel
Dortmund 6 - 0 Union Berlin
Union Berlin 1 - 2 Borussia M'bach
Wolfsburg 0 - 1 Heidenheim
Augsburg 1 - 0 Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg 1 - 1 St Pauli
Werder Bremen 1 - 2 Wolfsburg
RB Leipzig 1 - 0 Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg 1 - 1 VfL Bochum