Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 28

Apr 6, 2025 at 4.30pm UK

Stadion An der Alten Forsterei

Union Berlin
1 - 0
Wolfsburg

Hollerbach (63')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gerhardt (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions

Last Game: Freiburg 1-2 Union Berlin
Sunday, March 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Wolfsburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Wolfsburg 0-1 Heidenheim
Saturday, March 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	Wolfsburg
33.95% ( 1.32)	25.89% ( 0.63)	40.16% ( -1.95)

Both teams to score 54.26% (

-1.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50% (

-2.4)

50% (

2.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.02% (

-2.18)

71.98% (

2.18)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.91% (

-0.34)

28.08% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.25% (

-0.43)

63.75% (

0.44)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.45% (

-2.03)

24.55% (

2.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.96% (

-2.94)

59.04% (

2.94)

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 33.95%

Wolfsburg 40.16%

Draw 25.89%

Union Berlin	Draw	Wolfsburg
1-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.75) 2-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.43) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 33.95%	1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.65) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.22) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.89%	0-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 8.64% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 6.8% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.38) 0-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.27) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.27) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.23) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.17) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.16) Other @ 1.81% Total : 40.16%