Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 53.75%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 24.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.