Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 36.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.38%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.