Bundesliga Gameweek 30
Apr 19, 2025 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Lukas Klostermann 41' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Sesko 74' goal
  • yellowcard Lasse Rosenboom 28'
  • goal Shuto Machino 44'
  • yellowcard Jann-Fiete Arp 90'+8'

RB Leipzig vs Holstein Kiel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2025 7.30pm
Wolfsburg 2 - 3 RB Leipzig
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Benjamin Sesko

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2025 2.30pm
Holstein Kiel 1 - 2 St Pauli
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Shuto Machino

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 65.75%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 15.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 3-1 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it was 1-2 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result

RB Leipzig 65.75% (-1.03)
Draw 18.26% (+0.51)
Holstein Kiel 15.99% (+0.52)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.37% (-0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5 67.36% (-1.47)
Under 2.5 32.63% (+1.47)
Over 3.5 45.7% (-1.72)
Under 3.5 54.3% (+1.72)
Over 4.5 26.9% (-1.51)
Under 4.5 73.1% (+1.51)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 90.7% (-0.63)
Under 0.5 9.3% (+0.63)
Over 1.5 68.61% (-1.51)
Under 1.5 31.39% (+1.50)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5 66.56% (-0.35)
Under 0.5 33.44% (+0.34)
Over 1.5 29.93% (-0.38)
Under 1.5 70.07% (+0.38)

Score analysis

RB Leipzig 65.75%
Draw 18.26%
Holstein Kiel 15.99%
RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 9.61% (+0.13)
2-0 @ 8.77% (+0.19)
3-1 @ 7.61% (-0.13)
1-0 @ 7.39% (+0.37)
3-0 @ 6.95% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 4.52% (-0.21)
3-2 @ 4.17% (-0.11)
4-0 @ 4.12% (-0.15)
4-2 @ 2.47% (-0.14)
5-1 @ 2.15% (-0.17)
5-0 @ 1.96% (-0.13)
5-2 @ 1.18% (-0.11)
Other @ 4.87%
Total : 65.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.09% (+0.33)
2-2 @ 5.26% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.11% (+0.24)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 18.26%
Holstein Kiel
1-2 @ 4.43% (+0.15)
0-1 @ 3.41% (+0.24)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.87% (+0.12)
1-3 @ 1.62% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 15.99%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 13
Dec 7, 2024 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Holstein-Stadion
  • Armin Gigovic 36' yellowcard
  • Timon Weiner 67' yellowcard
  • Marvin Schulz 68' yellowcard
  • Alexander Bernhardsson 90' yellowcard
  • goal Benjamin Sesko 27'
  • yellowcard Lois Openda 56'
  • goal Andre Silva 69'
  • yellowcard Arthur Vermeeren 74'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Henrichs 83'