Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 30

Apr 19, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
1 - 1
Holstein Kiel

Sesko (74' pen.)
Klostermann (41')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Machino (44')
Rosenboom (28'), Arp (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-3 RB Leipzig
Friday, April 11 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Holstein Kiel

All competitions

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 1-2 St Pauli
Saturday, April 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 65.75%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 15.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 3-1 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it was 1-2 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Holstein Kiel
65.75% ( -1.03)	18.26% ( 0.51)	15.99% ( 0.51)

Both teams to score 60.37% (

-0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.36% (

-1.47)

32.63% (

1.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.7% (

-1.72)

54.3% (

1.71)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.7% (

-0.63)

9.3% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.61% (

-1.5)

31.39% (

1.5)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.56% (

-0.34)

33.44% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.93% (

-0.38)

70.07% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 65.75%

Holstein Kiel 15.99%

Draw 18.26%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Holstein Kiel
2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.37) 3-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.14) 5-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.16) 5-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.13) 5-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.1) 4-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.96% Total : 65.75%	1-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.28% Total : 18.26%	1-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.74% Total : 15.99%