Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 29

Apr 12, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Holstein-Stadion

Holstein Kiel
1 - 2
St Pauli

Bernhardsson (21', 21')
Ivezic (60'), Harres (77'), Schulz (86')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Sinani (34', 34'), Geschwill (90+2' og., 90+2' og.)
Nemeth (37'), Afolayan (46'), Wahl (82'), Guilavogui (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and St Pauli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Holstein Kiel

All competitions

Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, April 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

St Pauli

All competitions

Last Game: St Pauli 1-1 Borussia M'bach
Sunday, April 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 47.05%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.46%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for St Pauli in this match.

Result
Holstein Kiel	Draw	St Pauli
29.92% ( 0.28)	23.03% ( 0.04)	47.05% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 62.51% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.54% (

-0.02)

38.46% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.25% (

-0.02)

60.75% (

0.02)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.03% (

0.16)

24.96% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.39% (

0.23)

59.61% (

-0.22)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.3% (

-0.12)

16.7% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.41% (

-0.22)

46.58% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Holstein Kiel 29.92%

St Pauli 47.05%

Draw 23.03%

Holstein Kiel	Draw	St Pauli
2-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.32% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 29.92%	1-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.17% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( 0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.03%	1-2 @ 9.27% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 5.53% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.47% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.32% Total : 47.05%