Bundesliga Gameweek 29
Holstein Kiel
Apr 12, 2025 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 2 2
FT Holstein-Stadion
St Pauli
  • Alexander Bernhardsson 21' goal
  • Alexander Bernhardsson 21' goal
  • Marko Ivezic 60' yellowcard
  • Phil Harres 77' yellowcard
  • Marvin Schulz 86' yellowcard
  • goal Danel Sinani 34'
  • goal Danel Sinani 34'
  • yellowcard David Nemeth 37'
  • yellowcard Oladapo Afolayan 46'
  • yellowcard Hauke Wahl 82'
  • goal Max Geschwill 90'+2' (OG)
  • goal Max Geschwill 90'+2' (OG)
  • yellowcard Morgan Guilavogui 90'+2'

Holstein Kiel vs St Pauli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2025 2.30pm
Mainz 1 - 1 Holstein Kiel
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Shuto Machino

St Pauli

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2025 2.30pm
St Pauli 1 - 1 Borussia M'bach
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Morgan Guilavogui

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 47.05%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.46%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for St Pauli in this match.

Result

Holstein Kiel 29.92% ▲ (+0.28)
Draw 23.03% ▲ (+0.04)
St Pauli 47.05% ▼ (-0.32)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.51% ▲ (+0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.54% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 38.46% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 39.25% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 60.75% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 4.5 21.54% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 78.46% ▲ (+0.02)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5 75.03% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 0.5 24.96% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 1.5 40.39% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 1.5 59.61% ▼ (-0.23)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5 83.3% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 0.5 16.7% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 1.5 53.41% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 1.5 46.58% ▲ (+0.23)

Score analysis

Holstein Kiel 29.92%
Draw 23.03%
St Pauli 47.05%
Holstein Kiel
2-1 @ 7.18% ▲ (+0.05)
1-0 @ 5.78% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 4.01% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 29.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.35% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.43% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.17% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.03%
St Pauli
1-2 @ 9.27% ▼ (-0.03)
0-1 @ 7.46% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 6.68% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 5.53% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 3.84% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.03)
0-4 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.32%
Total : 47.05%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 12
St Pauli
Nov 29, 2024 7.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Millerntor-Stadion
Holstein Kiel
  • Manolis Saliakas 25' goal
  • Eric Smith 38' yellowcard
  • Morgan Guilavogui 56' goal
  • Johannes Eggestein 85' goal
  • Oladapo Afolayan 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcel Rapp 0'
  • yellowcard Lewis Holtby 23'
  • yellowcard Shuto Machino 23'
  • yellowcard Marko Ivezic 27'
  • yellowcard Timo Becker 38'
  • goal Phil Harres 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Patrick Erras 90'+2'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 23
Holstein Kiel
Feb 23, 2024 5.30pm
3
4
HT : 0 3
FT Holstein-Stadion
St Pauli
  • Marvin Schulz 45' yellowcard
  • Shuto Machino 53' goal
  • Joshua Mees 65' goal
  • Alexander Bernhardsson 82' goal
  • goal Oladapo Afolayan 11'
  • goal Marcel Hartel 34'
  • goal Oladapo Afolayan 36'
  • goal Connor Metcalfe 57'
  • yellowcard Manolis Saliakas 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Fabian Hurzeler 90'+5'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 6
St Pauli
Sep 17, 2023 12.30pm
5
1
HT : 3 0
FT Millerntor-Stadion
Holstein Kiel
  • Fabian Hurzeler 0' yellowcard
  • Connor Metcalfe 4' goal
  • Eric Smith 7' goal
  • Eric Smith 27' yellowcard
  • Oladapo Afolayan 38' goal
  • Sascha Burchert 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Elias Saad 49' yellowcard
  • Lars Ritzka 69' goal
  • Marcel Hartel 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Finn-Dominik Porath 16'
  • yellowcard Lewis Holtby 47'
  • goal Lewis Holtby 50'
  • yellowcard Tom Rothe 73'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 33
Holstein Kiel
May 19, 2023 5.30pm
3
4
HT : 1 1
FT
St Pauli
  • Steven Skrzybski 28' goal
  • Marco Komenda 78' goal
  • Fabian Reese 90'+3' goal
  • goal Oladapo Afolayan 39'
  • goal Hauke Wahl 53' (OG)
  • goal Lukas Daschner 61'
  • goal Leart Paqarada 74'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 16
St Pauli
Nov 8, 2022 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Holstein Kiel
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 18
Holstein Kiel
Dec 17, 2021 5.30pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
St Pauli
  • Fin Bartels 8' goal
  • Finn-Dominik Porath 29' goal
  • Benedikt Pichler 45'+1' goal
  • Stefan Thesker 56' yellowcard
  • Jann-Fiete Arp 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Philipp Ziereis 56'
  • yellowcard Leart Paqarada 80'
  • yellowcard Max Dittgen 86'
  • yellowcard Finn Ole Becker 90'+1'

Form Data

Mainz 1 - 1 Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel 0 - 3 Werder Bremen
Heidenheim 3 - 1 Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel 2 - 2 Stuttgart
Union Berlin 0 - 1 Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel 0 - 2 B. Leverkusen
St Pauli 1 - 1 Borussia M'bach
Bayern 3 - 2 St Pauli
St Pauli 1 - 0 Hoffenheim
Wolfsburg 1 - 1 St Pauli
St Pauli 0 - 2 Dortmund
Mainz 2 - 0 St Pauli