Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.19%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.