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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.19%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 43.54% ( | 22.6% ( | 33.86% ( |
| Both teams to score 66.12% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.47% ( | 34.52% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.54% ( | 56.45% ( |
| Eintracht Frankfurt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.5% ( | 16.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.78% ( | 46.22% ( |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.18% ( | 20.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.51% ( | 53.48% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 1-0 @ 6.19% ( 2-0 @ 5.58% ( 3-1 @ 5.26% ( 3-2 @ 4.13% 3-0 @ 3.35% ( 4-1 @ 2.37% ( 4-2 @ 1.86% ( 4-0 @ 1.51% ( 4-3 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 3.59% Total : 43.54% | 1-1 @ 9.71% ( 2-2 @ 6.87% ( 0-0 @ 3.43% ( 3-3 @ 2.16% ( Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.6% | 1-2 @ 7.62% ( 0-1 @ 5.39% ( 0-2 @ 4.23% ( 1-3 @ 3.99% ( 2-3 @ 3.59% ( 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 1-4 @ 1.56% ( 2-4 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 3.85% Total : 33.86% |