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Bundesliga | Gameweek 31
Apr 26, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
DnB NOR Arena
Dortmund logo

Hoffenheim
2 - 3
Dortmund

Hlozek (61'), Kaderabek (90')
Chaves (64'), Stach (90+12'), Kaderabek (90+8'), Nsoki (90+7'), Tohumcu (90+13')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Guirassy (20'), Brandt (74'), Anton (90+5')
Anton (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 3-2 Hoffenheim
Saturday, April 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 1-3 Borussia Dortmund

Hoffenheim will likely struggle to keep Dortmund at bay, and they could find it difficult to get back into a winning position should they concede first. It would not be surprising if the visitors scored more than once, and given Hoffenheim's poor record at home, BVB will be confident of claiming all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 37.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.23%) and 3-1 (4.98%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawBorussia Dortmund
40.7% (0.127 0.13) 22.1% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 37.21% (-0.119 -0.12)
Both teams to score 68.9% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.77% (0.040999999999997 0.04)31.22% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.34% (0.048999999999999 0.05)52.65% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.73% (0.063999999999993 0.06)16.26% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.2% (0.123 0.12)45.8% (-0.126 -0.13)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.28% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)17.71% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.62% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)48.38% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 40.7%
    Borussia Dortmund 37.21%
    Draw 22.1%
HoffenheimDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.98% (0.017 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.75% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.31% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.88% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.26% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.96% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.31% (0.008 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 40.7%
1-1 @ 9.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 7.12% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 2.88% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.49% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 22.1%
1-2 @ 7.84% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.99% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.52% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.32% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
2-3 @ 4.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.49% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.96% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.78% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.08% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.08% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 37.21%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Dortmund

Hoffenheim
24.4%
Draw
11.1%
Borussia Dortmund
64.4%
45
Head to Head
Dec 15, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 14
Dortmund
1-1
Hoffenheim
Reyna (46')
Gross (26'), Nmecha (44'), Reyna (73'), Bynoe-Gittens (76'), Adeyemi (90+5')
Bruun Larsen (90+1')
Gendrey (21'), Geiger (90+4')
Feb 25, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 23
Dortmund
2-3
Hoffenheim
Malen (21'), Schlotterbeck (25')
Sabitzer (45'), Malen (90+4')
Bebou (2'), Beier (61', 64')
Tohumcu (24'), Brooks (90+3'), Geiger (90+4')
Nov 1, 2023 5pm
Second Round
Dortmund
1-0
Hoffenheim
Reus (43')
Schlotterbeck (56')

Kabak (66'), Weghorst (75')
Kabak (90+3')
Sep 29, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 6
Hoffenheim
1-3
Dortmund
Kramaric (25' pen.)
Brooks (44'), Vogt (61'), Kabak (85')
Fullkrug (18'), Reus (45+3'), Ryerson (90+5')
Hummels (23'), Nmecha (60'), Bensebaini (67'), Reus (86')
Bensebaini (71')
Feb 25, 2023 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34257299326782
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen341912372432969
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34179868462260
4Borussia DortmundDortmund341761171512057
5Freiburg34167114953-455
6Mainz 05Mainz3414101055431252
7RB Leipzig34131295348551
8Werder Bremen34149115457-351
9Stuttgart341481264531150
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34136155557-245
11Wolfsburg341110135654243
12Augsburg341110133551-1643
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin341010143551-1640
14St Pauli3488182841-1332
15Hoffenheim34711164668-2232
16Heidenheim3485213764-2729
RHolstein Kiel3467214980-3125
RVfL BochumVfL Bochum3467213367-3425


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