Bundesliga Gameweek 31
Hoffenheim
Apr 26, 2025 2.30pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT DnB NOR Arena
Dortmund
  • Adam Hlozek 61' goal
  • Arthur Chaves 64' yellowcard
  • Pavel Kaderabek 90' goal
  • Stanley Nsoki 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Pavel Kaderabek 90'+8' yellowcard
  • Anton Stach 90'+12' yellowcard
  • Umut Tohumcu 90'+13' yellowcard
  • goal Serhou Guirassy 20'
  • yellowcard Waldemar Anton 41'
  • goal Julian Brandt 74'
  • goal Waldemar Anton 90'+5'

Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Last game
Apr 19, 2025 2.30pm
Freiburg 3 - 2 Hoffenheim
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Andrej Kramaric

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Last game
Apr 20, 2025 4.30pm
Dortmund 3 - 2 Borussia M'bach
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Serhou Guirassy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 37.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.23%) and 3-1 (4.98%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result

Hoffenheim 40.7% ▲ (+0.13)
Draw 22.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Borussia Dortmund 37.21% ▼ (-0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

68.9% ▲ (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 68.77% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 31.22% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 47.34% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 52.65% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 4.5 28.34% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 4.5 71.65% ▼ (-0.05)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5 83.73% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 16.26% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 1.5 54.2% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 45.8% ▼ (-0.13)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 82.28% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 17.71% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 51.62% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 48.38% ▲ (+0.06)

Score analysis

Hoffenheim 40.7%
Draw 22.1%
Borussia Dortmund 37.21%
Hoffenheim
2-1 @ 8.23% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 5.23% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.98% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.31% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.01)
4-3 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 40.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.06% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 7.12% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 22.1%
Borussia Dortmund
1-2 @ 7.84% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 4.99% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.52% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.01)
3-4 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 37.21%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 14
Dortmund
Dec 15, 2024 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
Hoffenheim
  • Pascal Gross 26' yellowcard
  • Felix Nmecha 44' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Reyna 46' goal
  • Giovanni Reyna 73' yellowcard
  • Jamie Bynoe-Gittens 76' yellowcard
  • Karim Adeyemi 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Valentin Gendrey 21'
  • goal Jacob Bruun Larsen 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Dennis Geiger 90'+4'
Bundesliga Gameweek 23
Dortmund
Feb 25, 2024 4.30pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
Hoffenheim
  • Donyell Malen 21' goal
  • Nico Schlotterbeck 25' goal
  • Marcel Sabitzer 45' yellowcard
  • Donyell Malen 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Ihlas Bebou 2'
  • yellowcard Umut Tohumcu 24'
  • goal Maximilian Beier 61'
  • goal Maximilian Beier 64'
  • yellowcard John Brooks 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Dennis Geiger 90'+4'
DFB-Pokal
Dortmund
Nov 1, 2023 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
Hoffenheim
  • Marco Reus 43' goal
  • Nico Schlotterbeck 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ozan Kabak 66'
  • yellowcard Wout Weghorst 75'
  • redcard Ozan Kabak 90'+3'
Bundesliga Gameweek 6
Hoffenheim
Sep 29, 2023 7.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Campo La Quinta
Dortmund
  • Andrej Kramaric 25' goal
  • John Brooks 44' yellowcard
  • Kevin Vogt 61' yellowcard
  • Ozan Kabak 85' yellowcard
  • goal Niclas Fullkrug 18'
  • yellowcard Mats Hummels 23'
  • goal Marco Reus 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Felix Nmecha 60'
  • yellowcard Ramy Bensebaini 67'
  • redcard Ramy Bensebaini 71'
  • yellowcard Marco Reus 86'
  • goal Julian Ryerson 90'+5'
Bundesliga Gameweek 22
Hoffenheim
Feb 25, 2023 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Dortmund
  • goal Julian Brandt 43'
Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Dortmund
Sep 2, 2022 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Hoffenheim
  • Marco Reus 16' goal
  • Marco Reus 57' yellowcard
  • Jude Bellingham 57' yellowcard
  • Mats Hummels 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robert Skov 35'
  • yellowcard Kevin Vogt 57'
  • yellowcard Ozan Kabak 64'
  • yellowcard Andrej Kramaric 80'

Form Data

Freiburg 3 - 2 Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim 2 - 0 Mainz
RB Leipzig 3 - 1 Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim 1 - 1 Augsburg
St Pauli 1 - 0 Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim 1 - 1 Heidenheim
Dortmund 3 - 2 Borussia M'bach
Dortmund 3 - 1 Barcelona
Bayern 2 - 2 Dortmund
Barcelona 4 - 0 Dortmund
Freiburg 1 - 4 Dortmund
Dortmund 3 - 1 Mainz