Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 30

Apr 20, 2025 at 4.30pm UK

Signal-Iduna-Park

Dortmund
3 - 2
Borussia M'bach

Guirassy (41'), Nmecha (44'), Svensson (45+4')
Guirassy (56')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Itakura (24'), Stoger (56' pen.)
Scally (4'), Stoger (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Dortmund 3-1 Barcelona
Tuesday, April 15 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-2 Freiburg
Saturday, April 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 57.68%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 22.22% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.12%) and 3-1 (6.97%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (5.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
57.68% ( 0.09)	20.1% ( 0.12)	22.22% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 65.43% (

-0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.71% (

-0.85)

31.28% (

0.85)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.28% (

-1.01)

52.72% (

1.01)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.12% (

-0.24)

10.87% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65% (

-0.53)

35% (

0.54)

Borussia Monchengladbach Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.41% (

-0.65)

26.58% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.19% (

-0.87)

61.81% (

0.87)

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 57.69%

Borussia Monchengladbach 22.22%

Draw 20.1%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.23) 3-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.3% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.05) 4-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.24% Total : 57.69%	1-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.42% Total : 20.1%	1-2 @ 5.63% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.95% Total : 22.22%