Bundesliga Gameweek 33
May 10, 2025 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Arena
  • Harry Kane 31' goal
  • Michael Olise 90' goal
  • Michael Olise 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Julian Weigl 49'

Bayern Munich vs Borussia Monchengladbach - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2025 2.30pm
RB Leipzig 3 - 3 Bayern
Goals scored
99
Top scorer
Harry Kane

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2025 2.30pm
Borussia M'bach 4 - 4 Hoffenheim
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Tim Kleindienst

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 78.13%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 9.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.01%) and 2-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.17%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 1-2 (2.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result

Bayern Munich 78.13% (-0.05)
Draw 12.68% (+0.02)
Borussia Monchengladbach 9.18% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.27% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 77.84% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 22.15% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 58.89% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 41.11% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 39.38% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 60.61% (+0.06)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5 95.44% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 4.56% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 81.37% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 18.62% (+0.05)

Borussia Monchengladbach Goals

Over 0.5 64.19% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 35.8% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 27.42% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 72.57% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Bayern Munich 78.13%
Draw 12.68%
Borussia Monchengladbach 9.18%
Bayern Munich
3-1 @ 8.23%
3-0 @ 8.01%
2-1 @ 7.99% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.78% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 6.36% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 6.19% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 5.04% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.23%
5-1 @ 3.93% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 3.82% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 3.26% (-0.01)
6-1 @ 2.02% (-0.01)
5-2 @ 2.02% (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.97% (-0.01)
4-3 @ 1.12% (-0.01)
6-2 @ 1.04% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.15%
Total : 78.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.17% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.1% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 1.63% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 12.68%
Borussia Monchengladbach
1-2 @ 2.66% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 1.68% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.41% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 9.18%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 16
Jan 11, 2025 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion im BORUSSIA-PARK
  • Joe Scally 53' yellowcard
  • Lukas Ullrich 66' yellowcard
  • Julian Weigl 90' yellowcard
  • goal Harry Kane 68'
  • yellowcard Kim Min-jae 81'
Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Feb 3, 2024 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Allianz Arena
  • Aleksandar Pavlovic 45' goal
  • Harry Kane 70' goal
  • Matthijs de Ligt 86' goal
  • yellowcard Florian Neuhaus 30'
  • goal Nico Elvedi 35'
Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Sep 2, 2023 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion im BORUSSIA-PARK
  • Ko Itakura 30' goal
  • yellowcard Noussair Mazraoui 22'
  • goal Leroy Sane 58'
  • yellowcard Kingsley Coman 60'
  • goal Mathys Tel 87'
Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Feb 18, 2023 2.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Lars Stindl 13' goal
  • Jonas Hofmann 55' goal
  • Marcus Thuram 84' goal
  • goal Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 35'
  • goal Mathys Tel 90'+3'
Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Aug 27, 2022 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Joshua Kimmich 63' yellowcard
  • Marcel Sabitzer 64' yellowcard
  • Leroy Sane 80' yellowcard
  • Julian Nagelsmann 81' yellowcard
  • Leroy Sane 83' goal
  • Benjamin Pavard 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alassane Plea 37'
  • goal Marcus Thuram 43'
  • yellowcard Christoph Kramer 90'+5'
Bundesliga Gameweek 18
Jan 7, 2022 7.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Robert Lewandowski 18' goal
  • goal Florian Neuhaus 27'
  • goal Stefan Lainer 31'
  • yellowcard Lars Stindl 78'