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Bundesliga | Gameweek 31
Apr 26, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Holstein-Stadion
Borussia Monchengladbach logo

Holstein Kiel
4 - 3
Borussia M'bach

Machino (15', 90+1'), Bernhardsson (23'), Gigovic (76')
Machino (83'), Ivezic (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Cvancara (60'), Plea (69'), Honorat (86')
Cvancara (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-1 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, April 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 3-2 Borussia M'bach
Sunday, April 20 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Holstein Kiel 1-2 Borussia Monchengladbach

Kiel will be buoyed by their performance against Leipzig last time out and will make this weekend's clash a tough game for Gladbach. However, other than their loss at Dortmund, Die Fohlen have been strong on the road in recent months, and they are likely to take all three points once again on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 55.14%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 25.08% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.76%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Holstein KielDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
25.08% (0.041999999999998 0.04) 19.78% (0.052 0.05) 55.14% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 70.53% (-0.14999999999999 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.7% (-0.209 -0.21)26.31% (0.212 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.39% (-0.271 -0.27)46.61% (0.272 0.27)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.31% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)21.69% (0.090999999999998 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.17% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)54.84% (0.141 0.14)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.06% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)9.95% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.1% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)32.9% (0.211 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Holstein Kiel 25.08%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 55.14%
    Draw 19.78%
Holstein KielDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 5.82% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 3.3% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.96% (0.004 0)
2-0 @ 2.52% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.28% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.002 -0)
4-3 @ 1.01% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 25.08%
1-1 @ 7.61% (0.05 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.71%
3-3 @ 2.63% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-0 @ 2.16% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 19.78%
1-2 @ 8.78% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.75% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 5.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.98% (0.047 0.05)
0-3 @ 4.42% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.9% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.98% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.55% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.8% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-4 @ 1.52% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-5 @ 1.38% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-5 @ 1.18% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 4%
Total : 55.14%

How you voted: Holstein Kiel vs Borussia M'bach

Holstein Kiel
14.3%
Draw
11.4%
Borussia Monchengladbach
74.3%
35
Head to Head
Dec 14, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 14
Borussia M'bach
4-1
Holstein Kiel
Kleindienst (1'), Hack (26'), Plea (43', 79')
Scally (69')
Gigovic (30')
Remberg (77')
Jul 29, 2024 5pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern33247295326379
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen331911370412968
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33169865452057
4Freiburg33167104850-255
5Borussia DortmundDortmund331661168511754
6Mainz 05Mainz331491053411251
7RB Leipzig33131285145651
8Werder Bremen33139115056-648
9Stuttgart331381261511047
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33136145556-145
11Augsburg331110123449-1543
12Wolfsburg331010135554140
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin33910143350-1737
14St Pauli3388172839-1132
15Hoffenheim33711154664-1832
16Heidenheim3385203660-2429
17Holstein Kiel3367204977-2825
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3357213167-3622


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