Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 55.14%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 25.08% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.76%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.