Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 47.04%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.