Bundesliga Gameweek 32
Dortmund
May 3, 2025 5.30pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
Wolfsburg
  • Serhou Guirassy 3' goal
  • Serhou Guirassy 59' goal
  • Karim Adeyemi 69' goal
  • Karim Adeyemi 73' goal
  • yellowcard Kilian Fischer 56'

Borussia Dortmund vs Wolfsburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2025 2.30pm
Hoffenheim 2 - 3 Dortmund
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Serhou Guirassy

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2025 2.30pm
Wolfsburg 0 - 1 Freiburg
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Mohamed El Amine Amoura

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 64.13%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 17.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 3-1 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result

Borussia Dortmund 64.13% ▼ (-0.15)
Draw 18.53% ▲ (+0.09)
Wolfsburg 17.34% ▲ (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.53% ▼ (-0.20)

Goals

Over 2.5 68.74% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 2.5 31.26% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 3.5 47.31% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 3.5 52.69% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 4.5 28.31% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 4.5 71.69% ▲ (+0.32)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 90.7% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 0.5 9.29% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 1.5 68.62% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 1.5 31.37% ▲ (+0.28)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5 68.94% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 0.5 31.06% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 1.5 32.62% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 67.37% ▲ (+0.15)

Score analysis

Borussia Dortmund 64.13%
Draw 18.53%
Wolfsburg 17.34%
Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.53% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.15% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 7.54% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 6.86% ▲ (+0.08)
3-0 @ 6.45% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.48% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 4.41% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 3.83% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.03)
5-0 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.02)
5-2 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.03)
4-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 64.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.02% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.57% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 18.53%
Wolfsburg
1-2 @ 4.69% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 17.34%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 15
Wolfsburg
Dec 22, 2024 4.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 3
FT VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Dortmund
  • Konstantinos Koulierakis 50' yellowcard
  • Yannick Gerhardt 55' yellowcard
  • Denis Vavro 58' goal
  • Denis Vavro 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Donyell Malen 25'
  • goal Maximilian Beier 28'
  • goal Julian Brandt 30'
  • redcard Pascal Gross 62'
  • yellowcard Donyell Malen 63'
  • yellowcard Donyell Malen 70'
  • yellowcard Yan Couto 90'+4'
DFB-Pokal
Wolfsburg
Oct 29, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
ET VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Dortmund
  • Maximilian Arnold 62' yellowcard
  • Salih Ozcan 114' yellowcard
  • Jonas Wind 116' goal
  • yellowcard Felix Nmecha 56'
  • yellowcard Jamie Bynoe-Gittens 85'
  • yellowcard Nico Schlotterbeck 115'
  • yellowcard Ramy Bensebaini 120'
Bundesliga Gameweek 22
Wolfsburg
Feb 17, 2024 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Dortmund
  • Yannick Gerhardt 63' goal
  • Yannick Gerhardt 71' yellowcard
  • Maximilian Arnold 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Moritz Jenz 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Niclas Fullkrug 8'
  • yellowcard Youssoufa Moukoko 90'+8'
Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Dortmund
Sep 23, 2023 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
Wolfsburg
  • Marco Reus 68' goal
  • yellowcard Vaclav Cerny 24'
Bundesliga Gameweek 31
Dortmund
May 7, 2023 4.30pm
6
0
HT : 3 0
FT
Wolfsburg
  • Karim Adeyemi 14' goal
  • Sebastien Haller 28' goal
  • Donyell Malen 37' goal
  • Jude Bellingham 54' goal
  • Karim Adeyemi 59' goal
  • Jude Bellingham 86' goal
Bundesliga Gameweek 14
Wolfsburg
Nov 8, 2022 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Dortmund
  • Mickey van de Ven 6' goal
  • Lukas Nmecha 90'+2' goal

Form Data

Hoffenheim 2 - 3 Dortmund
Dortmund 3 - 2 Borussia M'bach
Dortmund 3 - 1 Barcelona
Bayern 2 - 2 Dortmund
Barcelona 4 - 0 Dortmund
Freiburg 1 - 4 Dortmund
Wolfsburg 0 - 1 Freiburg
Mainz 2 - 2 Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg 2 - 3 RB Leipzig
Union Berlin 1 - 0 Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg 0 - 1 Heidenheim
Augsburg 1 - 0 Wolfsburg