Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 32

May 3, 2025 at 5.30pm UK

Signal-Iduna-Park

Dortmund
4 - 0
Wolfsburg

Guirassy (3', 59'), Adeyemi (69', 73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Fischer (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-3 Dortmund
Saturday, April 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Wolfsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Wolfsburg 0-1 Freiburg
Saturday, April 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 64.13%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 17.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 3-1 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Wolfsburg
64.13% ( -0.15)	18.53% ( 0.08)	17.34% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 62.53% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.74% (

-0.3)

31.26% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.31% (

-0.36)

52.69% (

0.35)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.7% (

-0.12)

9.29% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.62% (

-0.28)

31.37% (

0.27)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.94% (

-0.13)

31.06% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.62% (

-0.15)

67.37% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 64.13%

Wolfsburg 17.34%

Draw 18.53%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Wolfsburg
2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 6.45% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.04% Total : 64.13%	1-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.34% Total : 18.53%	1-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.83% ( 0) Other @ 3.31% Total : 17.34%