Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.