2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Sparkassen Erzgebirgsstadion

Erzgebirge Aue
1 - 0
Ingolstadt

Sijaric (62')
Gonther (34'), Jonjic (61'), Schreck (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Keller (74'), Kutschke (90+3')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Erzgebirge Aue and FC Ingolstadt 04.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Ingolstadt 04 win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Ingolstadt 04 win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Erzgebirge AueDrawFC Ingolstadt 04
30.62%26.68%42.71%
Both teams to score 50.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.86%54.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.44%75.56%
Erzgebirge Aue Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.61%32.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.09%68.91%
FC Ingolstadt 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.9%25.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.2%59.81%
Score Analysis
    Erzgebirge Aue 30.62%
    FC Ingolstadt 04 42.71%
    Draw 26.68%
Erzgebirge AueDrawFC Ingolstadt 04
1-0 @ 9.17%
2-1 @ 7.14%
2-0 @ 5.17%
3-1 @ 2.68%
3-0 @ 1.94%
3-2 @ 1.85%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 30.62%
1-1 @ 12.67%
0-0 @ 8.13%
2-2 @ 4.94%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.68%
0-1 @ 11.24%
1-2 @ 8.76%
0-2 @ 7.77%
1-3 @ 4.03%
0-3 @ 3.58%
2-3 @ 2.27%
1-4 @ 1.39%
0-4 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 42.71%

rhs 2.0


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