Finland national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Jun 10, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Helsingin olympiastadion
Poland national football team

Finland
2 - 1
Poland

Pohjanpalo (31' pen.), Kallman (64')
Kairinen (35')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kiwior (69')
Bednarek (34'), Zalewski (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Finland and Poland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Lithuania 2-2 Finland
Monday, March 24 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Next Game: Finland vs. Netherlands
Saturday, June 7 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Poland 2-0 Malta
Monday, March 24 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Next Game: Poland vs. Moldova
Friday, June 6 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Finland win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Poland has a probability of 31.74% and a draw has a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Poland win is 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.17%).

Result
FinlandDrawPoland
42.61% (1.021 1.02)25.65% (-0.25 -0.25)31.74% (-0.77 -0.77)
Both teams to score 54.36% (0.534 0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.45% (0.821 0.82)49.55% (-0.82 -0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.42% (0.732 0.73)71.58% (-0.73 -0.73)
Finland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.87% (0.86500000000001 0.87)23.13% (-0.863 -0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.01% (1.25 1.25)56.99% (-1.248 -1.25)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.71% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)29.29% (0.102 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.75% (-0.123 -0.12)65.25% (0.125 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Finland 42.61%
    Poland 31.74%
    Draw 25.64%
FinlandDrawPoland
1-0 @ 9.92% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.92% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 7.26% (0.126 0.13)
3-1 @ 4.35% (0.171 0.17)
3-0 @ 3.54% (0.149 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.098 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.101 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.3% (0.085 0.09)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 42.61%
1-1 @ 12.17% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 6.77% (-0.229 -0.23)
2-2 @ 5.48% (0.065 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 8.32% (-0.305 -0.31)
1-2 @ 7.48% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-2 @ 5.11% (-0.202 -0.2)
1-3 @ 3.06% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 31.74%

Head to Head
Oct 7, 2020 7.45pm
Friendlies 1
Poland
5-1
Finland
Grosicki (9', 18', 38'), Piatek (53'), Milik (87')
Niskanen (68')
Mar 27, 2020 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Poland
P-P
Finland
Mar 26, 2016 4.30pm
International Friendlies
Poland
5-0
Finland
Grosicki (18', 85'), Wszolek (20', 67'), Starzynski (32')
Glik (43')

Arkivuo (81')
rhs 2.0


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