Poland vs Lithuania - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 48.29%. A win for Lithuania had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Lithuania win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Poland in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Poland.