UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League C

Nov 15, 2024 at 5pm UK

AEK Arena - George Karapatakis

Cyprus
2 - 1
Lithuania

Kastanos (18'), Tzionis (63')
Ioannou (22'), Kakoullis (41'), Kastanos (53'), Kousoulos (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gineitis (47')
Golubickas (56'), Lasickas (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Cyprus and Lithuania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cyprus

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Kosovo 3-0 Cyprus
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Romania	0	0	0
2	Cyprus	0	0	0
3	Lithuania	0	0	0
4	Kosovo	0	0	0

Lithuania

Last Game: Lithuania 1-2 Romania
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lithuania win with a probability of 65.55%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 13.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lithuania win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.53%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Cyprus win it was 1-0 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Cyprus would win this match.

Result
Cyprus	Draw	Lithuania
13.03% ( -0.04)	21.42% ( -0.01)	65.55% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 42.11% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.12% (

-0.03)

52.88% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.51% (

-0.03)

74.49% (

0.03)

Cyprus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.79% (

-0.08)

50.21% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.19% (

-0.06)

84.81% (

0.06)

Lithuania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.59% (

15.41% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.77% (

0.01)

44.23% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Cyprus 13.03%

Lithuania 65.55%

Draw 21.42%

Cyprus	Draw	Lithuania
1-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.43% Total : 13.03%	1-1 @ 9.97% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.5% Total : 21.42%	0-1 @ 14.47% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 13.53% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.32% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 8.44% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.81% ( -0) 0-4 @ 3.94% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.72% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.48% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.02% 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 65.55%