World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Mar 21, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Ta'Qali National Stadium

Malta
0 - 1
Finland

FT(HT: 0-1)

Antman (38')
Peltola (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Malta and Finland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malta

All competitions

Last Game: Malta 0-0 Andorra
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League D2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Moldova	0	0	0
2	Malta	0	0	0
3	Andorra	0	0	0

Finland

All competitions

Last Game: Finland 0-2 Greece
Sunday, November 17 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League B2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	0	0	0
2	Republic of Ireland	0	0	0
3	Greece	0	0	0
4	Finland	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malta win with a probability of 52.14%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Finland had a probability of 21.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malta win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Finland win it was 0-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
Malta	Draw	Finland
52.14% ( 0.53)	26.77% ( -0.49)	21.08% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 42.67% (

1.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.5% (

1.5)

60.5% (

-1.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.38% (

1.12)

80.62% (

-1.12)

Malta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.58% (

0.9)

23.42% (

-0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.58% (

1.28)

57.42% (

-1.28)

Finland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.73% (

0.83)

44.27% (

-0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.65% (

0.66)

80.35% (

-0.67)

Score Analysis

Malta 52.14%

Finland 21.08%

Draw 26.77%

Malta	Draw	Finland
1-0 @ 15.05% ( -0.45) 2-0 @ 10.92% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.19) 4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.45% Total : 52.14%	1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 10.37% ( -0.59) 2-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.51% Total : 26.77%	0-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 5% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.91% Total : 21.08%