World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Mar 21, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Ta'Qali National Stadium
  • Kurt Shaw 78' redcard
  • yellowcard Matti Peltola 26'
  • goal Oliver Antman 38'

Malta vs Finland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Malta

All competitions

Finland

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malta win with a probability of 52.14%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Finland had a probability of 21.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malta win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Finland win it was 0-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result

Malta 52.14% (+0.54)
Draw 26.77% (-0.49)
Finland 21.08% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.67% (+1.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.5% (+1.50)
Under 2.5 60.5% (-1.50)
Over 3.5 19.38% (+1.12)
Under 3.5 80.62% (-1.12)
Over 4.5 7.98% (+0.63)
Under 4.5 92.02% (-0.63)

Malta Goals

Over 0.5 76.58% (+0.90)
Under 0.5 23.42% (-0.90)
Over 1.5 42.58% (+1.29)
Under 1.5 57.42% (-1.29)

Finland Goals

Over 0.5 55.73% (+0.83)
Under 0.5 44.27% (-0.83)
Over 1.5 19.65% (+0.67)
Under 1.5 80.35% (-0.67)

Score analysis

Malta 52.14%
Draw 26.77%
Finland 21.08%
Malta
1-0 @ 15.05% (-0.45)
2-0 @ 10.92% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 8.9% (+0.17)
3-0 @ 5.28% (+0.12)
3-1 @ 4.31% (+0.20)
4-0 @ 1.92% (+0.10)
3-2 @ 1.75% (+0.12)
4-1 @ 1.56% (+0.11)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 52.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.26% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 10.37% (-0.60)
2-2 @ 3.63% (+0.15)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 26.77%
Finland
0-1 @ 8.45% (-0.29)
1-2 @ 5% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 3.44% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.36% (+0.06)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 21.08%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Mar 26, 2018 5.00pm
0
0
HT : 3 0
FT Arcadia Futbol Kompleksi - Field 1 (Belek)
  • Teemu Pukki 13' goal
  • Kalle Taimi 23' goal
  • Teemu Pukki 27' goal
  • Juha Pirinen 66' yellowcard
  • Fredrik Jensen 85' goal
  • Pyry Soiri 88' goal
  • yellowcard Andre Schembri 24'