UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League

Moldova national football team
Nations League | League D
Sep 7, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadionul Zimbru
Malta national football team

Moldova
2 - 0
Malta

Caimacov (32'), Nicolaescu (45+4' pen.)
Motpan (65'), Damascan (72')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Guillaumier (45'), Bonello (45+3'), Muscat (53'), Marcolini (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Moldova and Malta, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moldova

All competitions
Last Game: Moldova 0-4 Ukraine
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Malta

All competitions
Last Game: Malta 0-2 Greece
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova win with a probability of 65.78%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Malta had a probability of 14.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Malta win it was 1-2 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Moldova in this match.

Result
MoldovaDrawMalta
65.78% (-0.49199999999999 -0.49)19.35% (0.238 0.24)14.87% (0.257 0.26)
Both teams to score 53.38% (-0.168 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.68% (-0.547 -0.55)40.32% (0.55 0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.31% (-0.566 -0.57)62.7% (0.569 0.57)
Moldova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.55% (-0.285 -0.28)11.45% (0.289 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.73% (-0.627 -0.63)36.27% (0.63 0.63)
Malta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.29% (0.0049999999999955 0)39.71% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.61% (0.004999999999999 0)76.39% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Score Analysis
    Moldova 65.77%
    Malta 14.87%
    Draw 19.35%
MoldovaDrawMalta
2-0 @ 10.67% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.86% (0.134 0.13)
3-0 @ 7.71% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
3-1 @ 7.12% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-0 @ 4.18% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
4-1 @ 3.86% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.81% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.78% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.67% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 65.77%
1-1 @ 9.1% (0.125 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.55% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.55% (0.115 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.35%
1-2 @ 4.2% (0.058 0.06)
0-1 @ 4.2% (0.106 0.11)
0-2 @ 1.94% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.29% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 14.87%

How you voted: Moldova vs Malta

Moldova
81.0%
Draw
14.3%
Malta
4.8%
63