Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malta win with a probability of 66.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Andorra had a probability of 13.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malta win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for an Andorra win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.