International Friendlies
Oct 13, 2024 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadi Nacional
  • Albert Rosas Ubach 10' goal
  • Marc Pujol 32' yellowcard
  • Marc Pujol 39' goal
  • Adrian Da Cunha Costa Gomes 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marco Pasolini 42'
  • yellowcard Filippo Fabbri 51'
  • yellowcard Simone Franciosi 74'
  • yellowcard Tommaso Benvenuti 77'

Andorra vs San Marino - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Andorra

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 4, 2024 5.00pm
Gibraltar 1 - 0 Andorra

San Marino

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 10, 2024 5.00pm
Moldova 1 - 0 San Marino

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Andorra win with a probability of 64.97%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 13.48%.

The most likely scoreline for an Andorra win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.27%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a San Marino win it was 0-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Andorra would win this match.

Result

Andorra 64.97% (-0.48)
Draw 21.55% (+0.44)
San Marino 13.48% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.88% (-1.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.5% (-1.62)
Under 2.5 52.5% (+1.62)
Over 3.5 25.83% (-1.41)
Under 3.5 74.16% (+1.41)
Over 4.5 11.89% (-0.92)
Under 4.5 88.11% (+0.92)

Andorra Goals

Over 0.5 84.53% (-0.69)
Under 0.5 15.47% (+0.69)
Over 1.5 55.66% (-1.30)
Under 1.5 44.34% (+1.30)

San Marino Goals

Over 0.5 50.73% (-0.94)
Under 0.5 49.27% (+0.94)
Over 1.5 15.85% (-0.68)
Under 1.5 84.15% (+0.68)

Score analysis

Andorra 64.97%
Draw 21.54%
San Marino 13.48%
Andorra
1-0 @ 14.22% (+0.57)
2-0 @ 13.27% (+0.22)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.10)
3-0 @ 8.26% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 5.85% (-0.21)
4-0 @ 3.85% (-0.13)
4-1 @ 2.73% (-0.17)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.13)
5-0 @ 1.44% (-0.09)
5-1 @ 1.02% (-0.09)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 64.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.06% (+0.13)
0-0 @ 7.62% (+0.48)
2-2 @ 3.33% (-0.13)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 21.54%
San Marino
0-1 @ 5.4% (+0.20)
1-2 @ 3.56% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 1.91% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 13.48%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Oct 12, 2021 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Davide Simoncini 22' yellowcard
  • Enrico Golinucci 63' yellowcard
  • Luca Censoni 66' yellowcard
  • Andrea Grandoni 84' yellowcard
  • goal Marc Pujol 10'
  • yellowcard Moises San Nicolas 28'
  • goal Sergi Moreno 53'
  • goal Ricard Fernandez 89'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Sep 2, 2021 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Marc Vales 17' goal
  • Marc Vales 24' goal
  • Marc Pujol 54' yellowcard
  • Jordi Alaez 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Manuel Battistini 64'
  • yellowcard Adolfo Hirsch 70'