Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Andorra win with a probability of 64.97%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 13.48%.
The most likely scoreline for an Andorra win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.27%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a San Marino win it was 0-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Andorra would win this match.