UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League D

Oct 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Europa Park Stadion

Gibraltar
1 - 0
San Marino

Britto (62')
De Barr (17'), Britto (23'), Torilla (78')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tosi (10'), Valli Casadei (15'), Zannoni (60'), Battistini (63'), Lazzari (76'), Benvenuti (83'), Sensoli (87'), Contadini (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Gibraltar and San Marino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gibraltar

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Gibraltar 2-2 Liechtenstein
Sunday, September 8 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League D1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	San Marino	0	0	0
2	Gibraltar	0	0	0
3	Liechtenstein	0	0	0

San Marino

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Moldova 1-0 San Marino
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current League D1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	San Marino	0	0	0
2	Gibraltar	0	0	0
3	Liechtenstein	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gibraltar win with a probability of 58.09%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 19.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gibraltar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a San Marino win it was 0-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gibraltar in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Gibraltar.

Result
Gibraltar	Draw	San Marino
58.09% ( 2.59)	21.98% ( 0.32)	19.93% ( -2.91)

Both teams to score 54.93% (

-5.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.6% (

-5.29)

43.4% (

5.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.2% (

-5.42)

65.8% (

5.42)

Gibraltar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.34% (

-0.96)

14.66% (

0.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.19% (

-1.87)

42.81% (

1.87)

San Marino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.37% (

-5.71)

35.63% (

5.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.6% (

-6.38)

72.4% (

6.38)

Score Analysis

Gibraltar 58.09%

San Marino 19.93%

Draw 21.98%

Gibraltar	Draw	San Marino
1-0 @ 10.03% ( 1.88) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 9.63% ( 1.53) 3-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.8) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.63) 4-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.29) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.37) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.79% Total : 58.09%	1-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.52) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( 1.13) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.77) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.44) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.98%	0-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.44) 1-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.59) 0-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.55) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.61) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.24) Other @ 1.87% Total : 19.93%