UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League D

Sep 8, 2024 at 5pm UK

Europa Park Stadion

Gibraltar
2 - 2
Liechtenstein

Walker (8'), Scanlon (90+7')
Olivero (47'), Buchel (55'), Bartolo (57'), Kindle (67'), Netzer (90+3'), Coleing (90+4'), Annesley (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Saglam (53'), Hasler (90+14' pen.)
Wieser (16'), Luque Notaro (25'), Cesar Ribas Vlahovic (45+3'), Olivero (55'), Torilla (59'), Britto (67'), Meier (82'), Sele (90'), Lo Russo (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Gibraltar and Liechtenstein, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gibraltar

All competitions

Last Game: Gibraltar 1-0 Andorra
Wednesday, September 4 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	8	26	22
2	Netherlands	8	10	18
3	Greece	8	6	13
4	Republic of Ireland	8	-1	6
5	Gibraltar	8	-41	0

Liechtenstein

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: San Marino 1-0 Liechtenstein
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current Group J Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	10	34	30
2	Slovakia	10	9	22
3	Luxembourg	10	-6	17
4	Iceland	10	1	10
5	Bosnia-Herzegovina	10	-11	9
6	Liechtenstein	10	-27	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liechtenstein win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Gibraltar had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liechtenstein win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Gibraltar win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Gibraltar	Draw	Liechtenstein
29.88% ( -1.65)	26.47% ( -0.71)	43.66% ( 2.37)

Both teams to score 50.93% (

1.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.4% (

2.18)

53.6% (

-2.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.9% (

1.81)

75.1% (

-1.8)

Gibraltar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.35% (

-0.06)

32.65% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.81% (

-0.07)

69.19% (

0.08)

Liechtenstein Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.62% (

2.22)

24.39% (

-2.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.2% (

3.02)

58.8% (

-3.01)

Score Analysis

Gibraltar 29.88%

Liechtenstein 43.65%

Draw 26.46%

Gibraltar	Draw	Liechtenstein
1-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.8) 2-1 @ 7.04% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.46) 3-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.6% Total : 29.88%	1-1 @ 12.57% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.7) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.19) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.46%	0-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 8.87% ( 0.35) 0-2 @ 7.93% ( 0.33) 1-3 @ 4.17% ( 0.41) 0-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.37) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.23) 1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.23) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.21) Other @ 2.59% Total : 43.65%