Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 76.81%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 8.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.78%) and 1-0 (10.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.15%), while for a Liechtenstein win it was 0-1 (2.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.