Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Andorra win with a probability of 44.59%. A win for Gibraltar had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Andorra win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Gibraltar win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.