Nations League | League D
Sep 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle
San Marino1 - 0Liechtenstein
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: San Marino 1-4 Cyprus
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Slovenia | 10 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Denmark | 10 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Finland | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 10 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 6 | San Marino | 10 | -28 | 0 |
Last Game: Romania 0-0 Liechtenstein
Friday, June 7 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Friday, June 7 at 7pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 10 | 34 | 30 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 10 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 10 | -6 | 17 |
| 4 | Iceland | 10 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 10 | -11 | 9 |
| 6 | Liechtenstein | 10 | -27 | 0 |
We said: San Marino 1-1 Liechtenstein
With two of European football's international minnows meeting in Serravalle on Thursday night, we are expecting a hard-fought clash at Stadio Olimpico. San Marino and Liechtenstein will both fancy their chances of scoring rare competitive goals, although we do not believe either side will have enough to claim maximum points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Marino win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Marino win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Liechtenstein win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for San Marino in this match.
| Result | ||
| San Marino | Draw | Liechtenstein |
41.83% ( -0.27) | 25.9% ( -0.12) | 32.26% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 53.74% ( 0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
