International Friendlies
Moldova
Sep 10, 2024 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadionul Zimbru
San Marino
  • Vadim Rata 10' goal
  • Vladyslav Baboglo 90' yellowcard
  • Mihail Caimacov 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marco Pasolini 25'
  • yellowcard Marcello Mularoni 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Simone Giocondi 64'
  • yellowcard Matteo Vitaioli 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Michael Battistini 90'+4'

Moldova vs San Marino - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Moldova

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 8, 2024 5.00pm
Moldova 3 - 2 Cyprus

San Marino

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 11, 2024 5.00pm
San Marino 1 - 4 Cyprus

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova win with a probability of 85.11%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 3.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.87%) and 1-0 (12.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.97%), while for a San Marino win it was 0-1 (1.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Moldova would win this match.

Result

Moldova 85.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 11.3% ▼ (-0.01)
San Marino 3.59% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

29.61% ▲ (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.94% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 42.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 35.54% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 64.46% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 18.67% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 81.33% ▼ (-0.02)

Moldova Goals

Over 0.5 92.77% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 7.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 73.78% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 26.21% ▼ (-0.01)

San Marino Goals

Over 0.5 31.92% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 0.5 68.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 5.74% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 94.25% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Moldova 85.1%
Draw 11.3%
San Marino 3.59%
Moldova
2-0 @ 16.98%
3-0 @ 14.87%
1-0 @ 12.92% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 9.77% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.53% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.72% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 5.13%
4-1 @ 3.76% ▲ (+0.01)
6-0 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 85.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 4.97% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.92% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 11.3%
San Marino
0-1 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 3.59%

Head to Head

Nations League
San Marino
Nov 15, 2018 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Moldova
  • Matteo Vitaioli 37' yellowcard
  • Nicola Nanni 64' yellowcard
  • goal Vitalie Damascan 78'
  • yellowcard Alexandru Gatcan 90'
Nations League
Moldova
Oct 12, 2018 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
San Marino
  • Radu Ginsari 31' goal
  • Radu Ginsari 67' goal
  • yellowcard Alex Gasperoni 38'
  • yellowcard Fabio Tomassini 80'
  • yellowcard Manuel Battistini 86'
World Cup
Moldova
Oct 11, 2013 5.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
San Marino
  • Viorel Frunza 55' goal
  • Eugeniu Sidorenco 59' goal
  • Artur Ionita 86' yellowcard
  • Eugeniu Sidorenco 89' goal
  • yellowcard Mirko Palazzi 30'
  • yellowcard Michele Cervellini 45'
  • yellowcard Alex Gasperoni 86'

Form Data

Moldova 2 - 0 Malta
Moldova 0 - 4 Ukraine
Moldova 3 - 2 Cyprus
Cayman Islands 0 - 4 Moldova
N. Macedonia 1 - 1 Moldova
Czech Republic 3 - 0 Moldova
San Marino 1 - 0 Liechtenstein
San Marino 1 - 4 Cyprus
Slovakia 4 - 0 San Marino
San Marino 0 - 0 Saint Kitts
San Marino 1 - 3 Saint Kitts
San Marino 1 - 2 Finland