Friendlies 2

Sep 10, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stadionul Zimbru

Moldova
1 - 0
San Marino

Rata (10')
Caimacov (90+4'), Baboglo (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pasolini (25'), Mularoni (45+2'), Giocondi (64'), Vitaioli (90+1'), Battistini (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Moldova and San Marino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moldova

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Moldova 2-0 Malta
Saturday, September 7 at 5pm in Nations League

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Albania	8	8	15
2	Czech Republic	8	6	15
3	Poland	8	0	11
4	Moldova	8	-3	10
5	Faroe Islands	8	-11	2

San Marino

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: San Marino 1-0 Liechtenstein
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Slovenia	10	11	22
2	Denmark	10	9	22
3	Finland	10	8	18
4	Kazakhstan	10	4	18
5	Northern Ireland	10	-4	9
6	San Marino	10	-28	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova win with a probability of 85.11%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 3.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.87%) and 1-0 (12.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.97%), while for a San Marino win it was 0-1 (1.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Moldova would win this match.

Result
Moldova	Draw	San Marino
85.11% ( -0)	11.3% ( -0)	3.59% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 29.61% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.94% (

0.02)

42.05% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.54% (

0.02)

64.46% (

-0.02)

Moldova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.77% (

7.23% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.78% (

0.01)

26.21% (

-0.01)

San Marino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

31.92% (

0.03)

68.08% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

5.74% (

0.01)

94.25% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Moldova 85.1%

San Marino 3.59%

Draw 11.3%

Moldova	Draw	San Marino
2-0 @ 16.98% 3-0 @ 14.87% 1-0 @ 12.92% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 9.77% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.53% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( 0) 5-0 @ 5.13% 4-1 @ 3.76% ( 0) 6-0 @ 2.25% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.97% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 4.11% Total : 85.1%	1-1 @ 4.97% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.92% ( -0) 2-2 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 11.3%	0-1 @ 1.89% ( 0) 1-2 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 0.74% Total : 3.59%