Nations League | League D
Sep 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Estadi Nacional
We said: Andorra 0-0 Malta
On paper, this is Andorra's best chance of claiming a victory in the section, but they are not in the best of shape after a defeat to Gibraltar last week and 18 matches without a win.
Likewise, Malta suffered a disappointing loss in Moldova at the weekend, creating next to nothing in attack, as these two sides could cancel each other out in a low-quality encounter.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Andorra win with a probability of 45.65% . A win for Malta had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.2% .
The most likely scoreline for an Andorra win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.82%) . The likeliest Malta win was 0-1 (7.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%) . The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood .
Result Andorra Draw Malta 45.65% ( -0.71) 25.22% ( -0.13) 29.13% ( 0.84)
Both teams to score 54.43% ( 0.96)
51.15% ( 1) 48.85% ( -1)
29.05% ( 0.9) 70.94% ( -0.9)
78.59% ( 0.1) 21.41% ( -0.09)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 45.59% ( 0.15) 54.41% ( -0.15)
69.27% ( 1.14) 30.73% ( -1.14)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 33% ( 1.32) 66.99% ( -1.32)
Andorra 45.64%
Malta 29.13%
Draw 25.21%
Andorra Draw Malta 1-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.39) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.47% Total : 45.64% 1-1 @ 11.96% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.21% 0-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.01% Total : 29.13%
How you voted: Andorra vs Malta
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rhs 2.0
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