UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League D

Sep 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Estadi Nacional

Andorra
0 - 1
Malta

Guillen (7'), Alaez (68'), Rosas Ubach (83')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Camenzuli (45')
Zammit Lonardelli (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Andorra and Malta, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Andorra

All competitions

Last Game: Gibraltar 1-0 Andorra
Wednesday, September 4 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Romania	10	11	22
2	Switzerland	10	11	17
3	Israel	10	0	15
4	Belarus	10	-5	12
5	Kosovo	10	0	11
6	Andorra	10	-17	2

Malta

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Moldova 2-0 Malta
Saturday, September 7 at 5pm in Nations League

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	8	18	20
2	Italy	8	7	14
3	Ukraine	8	3	14
4	North Macedonia	8	-10	8
5	Malta	8	-18	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Andorra win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Malta had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Andorra win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Malta win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Andorra	Draw	Malta
45.65% ( -0.71)	25.22% ( -0.13)	29.13% ( 0.84)

Both teams to score 54.43% (

0.96)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.15% (

48.85% (

-1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.05% (

0.9)

70.94% (

-0.9)

Andorra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.59% (

0.1)

21.41% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.59% (

0.15)

54.41% (

-0.15)

Malta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.27% (

1.14)

30.73% (

-1.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33% (

1.32)

66.99% (

-1.32)

Score Analysis

Andorra 45.64%

Malta 29.13%

Draw 25.21%

Andorra	Draw	Malta
1-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.39) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.47% Total : 45.64%	1-1 @ 11.96% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.21%	0-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.01% Total : 29.13%