Malta national football team
Friendlies 2
Nov 14, 2024 at 6pm UK
Ta'Qali National Stadium
Liechtenstein national football team

Malta
2 - 0
Liechtenstein

Degabriele (51'), Buchel (54' og.)
Pepe (42'), Zammit Lonardelli (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Marxer (2'), Wieser (29'), Sele (42'), Wolfinger (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Malta and Liechtenstein, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Malta 1-0 Moldova
Sunday, October 13 at 5pm in Nations League
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Liechtenstein 0-0 Gibraltar
Sunday, October 13 at 5pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malta win with a probability of 58.33%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 17.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malta win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Liechtenstein win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malta would win this match.

Result
MaltaDrawLiechtenstein
58.33% (29.361 29.36)24.01% (-3.622 -3.62)17.66% (-25.742 -25.74)
Both teams to score 44.88% (-2.179 -2.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.19% (3.515 3.52)54.81% (-3.518 -3.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.89% (2.83 2.83)76.11% (-2.833 -2.83)
Malta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.39% (17.227 17.23)18.61% (-17.23 -17.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.1% (22.714 22.71)49.89% (-22.717 -22.72)
Liechtenstein Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.14% (-18.202 -18.2)44.85% (18.199 18.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.18% (-18.922 -18.92)80.81% (18.92 18.92)
Score Analysis
    Malta 58.32%
    Liechtenstein 17.66%
    Draw 24.01%
MaltaDrawLiechtenstein
1-0 @ 14.03% (4.228 4.23)
2-0 @ 11.8% (6.77 6.77)
2-1 @ 9.46% (2.811 2.81)
3-0 @ 6.62% (4.895 4.9)
3-1 @ 5.3% (3.029 3.03)
4-0 @ 2.78% (2.34 2.34)
4-1 @ 2.23% (1.646 1.65)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.622 0.62)
5-0 @ 0.94% (0.844 0.84)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 58.32%
1-1 @ 11.25% (-1.71 -1.71)
0-0 @ 8.35% (-1.206 -1.21)
2-2 @ 3.79% (-0.604 -0.6)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 24.01%
0-1 @ 6.69% (-5.929 -5.93)
1-2 @ 4.51% (-4.058 -4.06)
0-2 @ 2.68% (-5.668 -5.67)
1-3 @ 1.21% (-2.572 -2.57)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.924 -0.92)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 17.66%

How you voted: Liechtenstein vs Malta

Liechtenstein
53.6%
Draw
10.7%
Malta
35.7%
28
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2020 5pm
Friendlies 2
Malta
3-0
Liechtenstein
Mifsud (5'), Borg (20'), Paul Farrugia (84' pen.)
Caruana (54')

Kardesoglu (37'), Sele (59'), Goppel (90+1')
Mar 28, 2020 3pm
International Friendlies
Malta
P-P
Liechtenstein