UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League D

Oct 13, 2024 at 5pm UK

Ta'Qali National Stadium

Malta
1 - 0
Moldova

Teuma (87' pen.)
Shaw (29'), Mentz (39'), Mbong (70')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Reabciuk (30'), Cojocaru (51'), Caimacov (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Malta and Moldova, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malta

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Andorra 0-1 Malta
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League D2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Moldova	0	0	0
2	Malta	0	0	0
3	Andorra	0	0	0

Moldova

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Moldova 2-0 Andorra
Thursday, October 10 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League D2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Moldova	0	0	0
2	Malta	0	0	0
3	Andorra	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Malta had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Malta win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Malta	Draw	Moldova
34.83% ( -0.47)	25.67% ( -0.16)	39.5% ( 0.63)

Both teams to score 55.19% (

0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.13% (

0.63)

48.87% (

-0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.04% (

0.57)

70.96% (

-0.56)

Malta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73% (

0.02)

27% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.65% (

0.02)

62.35% (

-0.02)

Moldova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.61% (

0.62)

24.39% (

-0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.19% (

0.87)

58.81% (

-0.86)

Score Analysis

Malta 34.83%

Moldova 39.5%

Draw 25.66%

Malta	Draw	Moldova
1-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 34.83%	1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.66%	0-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.58% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.04% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.86% Total : 39.5%