World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Mar 24, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Narodowy
  • Karol Swiderski 27' goal
  • Przemyslaw Frankowski 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Karol Swiderski 51' goal
  • Bartosz Slisz 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zach Muscat 18'
  • yellowcard Basil Tuma 69'
  • yellowcard Ilyas Chouaref 74'
  • redcard Ilyas Chouaref 90'+1'

Poland vs Malta - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Poland

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last game
Mar 21, 2025 7.45pm
Poland 1 - 0 Lithuania

Malta

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last game
Mar 21, 2025 7.45pm
Malta 0 - 1 Finland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 80.17%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Malta had a probability of 6.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.82%) and 1-0 (10.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.35%), while for a Malta win it was 0-1 (2.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Poland in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Poland.

Result

Poland 80.17% (-0.41)
Draw 13.37% (+0.21)
Malta 6.46% (+0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.41% (+0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.53% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 37.46% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 40.31% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 59.68% (+0.12)
Over 4.5 22.39% (-0.10)
Under 4.5 77.6% (+0.10)

Poland Goals

Over 0.5 92.67% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 7.33% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 73.52% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 26.47% (+0.29)

Malta Goals

Over 0.5 45.76% (+0.54)
Under 0.5 54.23% (-0.54)
Over 1.5 12.58% (+0.33)
Under 1.5 87.42% (-0.33)

Score analysis

Poland 80.16%
Draw 13.37%
Malta 6.46%
Poland
2-0 @ 13.57% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 11.82% (-0.15)
1-0 @ 10.38% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.3% (+0.09)
4-0 @ 7.73% (-0.14)
3-1 @ 7.24% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 4.73% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 4.04% (-0.10)
5-1 @ 2.47% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.21% (+0.05)
6-0 @ 1.76% (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.45% (+0.03)
6-1 @ 1.08% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 80.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.35% (+0.10)
0-0 @ 3.97% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 2.54% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 13.37%
Malta
0-1 @ 2.43% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 1.94% (+0.07)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 6.46%