Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 80.17%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Malta had a probability of 6.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.82%) and 1-0 (10.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.35%), while for a Malta win it was 0-1 (2.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Poland in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Poland.