World Cup Qualifying - Europe Gameweek 3
Jun 7, 2025 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Ilmari Niskanen 90' yellowcard
  • goal Memphis Depay 6'
  • goal Denzel Dumfries 23'
  • yellowcard Jan Paul van Hecke 28'
  • yellowcard Tijjani Reijnders 61'

Finland vs Netherlands - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Finland

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last game
Mar 24, 2025 5.00pm
Lithuania 2 - 2 Finland

Netherlands

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Netherlands win with a probability of 57.71%. A draw has a probability of 22.2% and a win for Finland has a probability of 20.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.93%) and 0-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Finland win it is 1-0 (5.5%).

Result

Finland 20.13% (-0.25)
Draw 22.16% (-0.04)
Netherlands 57.71% (+0.28)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.66% (-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.08% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 43.92% (+0.19)
Over 3.5 33.69% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 66.3% (+0.18)
Over 4.5 17.3% (-0.14)
Under 4.5 82.7% (+0.14)

Finland Goals

Over 0.5 64.27% (-0.35)
Under 0.5 35.73% (+0.35)
Over 1.5 27.5% (-0.37)
Under 1.5 72.5% (+0.37)

Netherlands Goals

Over 0.5 85.04% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 14.95% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 56.63% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 43.37% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Finland 20.13%
Draw 22.15%
Netherlands 57.7%
Finland
1-0 @ 5.5% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 5.38% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 2.83% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 1.85% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 20.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.44% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.34% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.15%
Netherlands
0-1 @ 10.15% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 9.93% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 9.65% (+0.10)
1-3 @ 6.29% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 6.11% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 3.24% (-0.03)
1-4 @ 2.99% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.9% (+0.04)
2-4 @ 1.54% (-0.02)
1-5 @ 1.14% (+0.01)
0-5 @ 1.1% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 57.7%