Nations League
Germany
Oct 14, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Arena
Netherlands
  • Jamie Leweling 2' goal
  • Antonio Rudiger 63' yellowcard
  • Jamie Leweling 64' goal
  • Nico Schlotterbeck 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Waldemar Anton 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tijjani Reijnders 30'
  • yellowcard Mats Wieffer 63'
  • yellowcard Xavi Simons 90'+3'

Germany vs Netherlands - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Germany

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Oct 11, 2024 7.45pm
Bosnia H'vina 1 - 2 Germany

Netherlands

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Oct 11, 2024 7.45pm
Hungary 1 - 1 Netherlands

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Netherlands had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Netherlands win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.

Result

Germany 43.27% ▼ (-0.78)
Draw 24.8% ▲ (+0.06)
Netherlands 31.93% ▲ (+0.72)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.3% ▲ (+0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.24% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 45.76% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 31.92% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 68.07% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 4.5 16.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 83.98% ▼ (-0.02)

Germany Goals

Over 0.5 78.8% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 0.5 21.19% ▲ (+0.35)
Over 1.5 45.92% ▼ (-0.54)
Under 1.5 54.07% ▲ (+0.54)

Netherlands Goals

Over 0.5 72.71% ▲ (+0.48)
Under 0.5 27.29% ▼ (-0.48)
Over 1.5 37.27% ▲ (+0.62)
Under 1.5 62.73% ▼ (-0.62)

Score analysis

Germany 43.27%
Draw 24.8%
Netherlands 31.93%
Germany
2-1 @ 9.04% ▼ (-0.08)
1-0 @ 8.97% ▼ (-0.11)
2-0 @ 6.96% ▼ (-0.16)
3-1 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.12)
3-2 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.07)
4-2 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 43.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.65% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.87% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.78% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.8%
Netherlands
1-2 @ 7.57% ▲ (+0.12)
0-1 @ 7.51% ▲ (+0.10)
0-2 @ 4.88% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.10)
2-3 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.09)
1-4 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 31.93%

Head to Head

Nations League
Netherlands
Sep 10, 2024 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Amsterdam ArenA
Germany
  • Tijjani Reijnders 2' goal
  • Denzel Dumfries 50' goal
  • yellowcard Nico Schlotterbeck 14'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Tah 24'
  • yellowcard David Raum 32'
  • goal Deniz Undav 38'
  • goal Joshua Kimmich 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Florian Wirtz 86'
International Friendlies
Germany
Mar 26, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt am Main)
Netherlands
  • Maximilian Mittelstadt 11' goal
  • Robert Andrich 53' yellowcard
  • Toni Kroos 66' yellowcard
  • Niclas Fullkrug 85' goal
  • goal Joey Veerman 4'
  • yellowcard Daley Blind 17'
International Friendlies
Netherlands
Mar 29, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Germany
  • Memphis Depay 29' yellowcard
  • Steven Bergwijn 68' goal
  • Frenkie de Jong 86' yellowcard
  • goal Thomas Muller 45'+1'
  • yellowcard David Raum 83'
  • yellowcard Antonio Rudiger 89'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Germany
Sep 6, 2019 7.45pm
2
4
HT : 1 0
FT
Netherlands
  • Serge Gnabry 9' goal
  • Joshua Kimmich 35' yellowcard
  • Toni Kroos 73' goal
  • yellowcard Memphis Depay 35'
  • yellowcard Marten de Roon 49'
  • goal Frenkie de Jong 59'
  • goal Jonathan Tah 66' (OG)
  • yellowcard Frenkie de Jong 72'
  • goal Donyell Malen 79'
  • goal Georginio Wijnaldum 91'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Netherlands
Mar 24, 2019 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT
Germany
  • Daley Blind 38' yellowcard
  • Matthijs de Ligt 48' goal
  • Memphis Depay 63' goal
  • goal Leroy Sane 15'
  • goal Serge Gnabry 34'
  • goal Nico Schulz 90'
Nations League
Germany
Nov 19, 2018 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT
Netherlands
  • Timo Werner 9' goal
  • Mats Hummels 14' yellowcard
  • Leroy Sane 20' goal
  • Toni Kroos 52' yellowcard
  • Joshua Kimmich 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Georginio Wijnaldum 38'
  • goal Quincy Promes 85'
  • goal Virgil van Dijk 90'

Form Data

Bosnia H'vina 1 - 2 Germany
Netherlands 2 - 2 Germany
Germany 5 - 0 Hungary
Spain 2 - 1 Germany
Germany 2 - 0 Denmark
Switzerland 1 - 1 Germany
Hungary 1 - 1 Netherlands
Netherlands 2 - 2 Germany
Netherlands 5 - 2 Bosnia H'vina
Netherlands 1 - 2 England
Netherlands 2 - 1 Turkey
Romania 0 - 3 Netherlands

Build-up

Predicted Lineups