Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 50.46%. A win for Hungary had a probability of 25.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Hungary win was 1-0 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.