UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League A

Sep 7, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Philips Stadion

Netherlands
5 - 2
Bosnia H'vina

Zirkzee (13'), Reijnders (45+2'), Gakpo (56'), Weghorst (88'), Simons (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Demirovic (27'), Dzeko (73')
Demirovic (76'), Gazibegovic (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Netherlands and Bosnia-Herzegovina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how the Netherlands could line up for Saturday's Nations League clash with Bosnia-Herzegovina.

Form, Standings, Stats

Netherlands

All competitions

Last Game: Netherlands 1-2 England
Wednesday, July 10 at 8pm in European Championship

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Austria	3	2	6
2	France	3	1	5
3	Netherlands	3	0	4
4	Poland	3	-3	1

Bosnia-Herzegovina

All competitions

Last Game: Italy 1-0 Bosnia H'vina
Sunday, June 9 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group J Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	10	34	30
2	Slovakia	10	9	22
3	Luxembourg	10	-6	17
4	Iceland	10	1	10
5	Bosnia-Herzegovina	10	-11	9
6	Liechtenstein	10	-27	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 66.99%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 13.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.38%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result
Netherlands	Draw	Bosnia-Herzegovina
66.99% ( 0.2)	19.95% ( -0.13)	13.06% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 46.46% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.01% (

0.38)

46.99% (

-0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.77% (

0.36)

69.23% (

-0.35)

Netherlands Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.91% (

0.18)

13.09% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.29% (

0.36)

39.71% (

-0.36)

Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.46% (

0.13)

46.54% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.86% (

0.1)

82.14% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Netherlands 66.98%

Bosnia-Herzegovina 13.06%

Draw 19.95%

Netherlands	Draw	Bosnia-Herzegovina
2-0 @ 12.59% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 12.38% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.32% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.78% Total : 66.98%	1-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.7% Total : 19.95%	0-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 1.13% Total : 13.06%