We said: Netherlands 3-0 Bosnia-Herzegovina
While the Netherlands came so close to reaching July's European Championship final, Bosnia came up short in the Euro 2024 playoffs amid a miserable run of results.
Therefore, the Oranje should sweep past their opening Group 3 opponents on home turf, setting them up nicely for next week's heavyweight contest with Germany.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 66.99%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 13.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.38%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.
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