Italy national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Bosnia and Herzegovina national football team

Italy
1 - 0
Bosnia H'vina

Frattesi (38')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Huseinbasic (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly clash between Italy and Bosnia-Herzegovina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up for Sunday's international friendly clash with Bosnia-Herzegovina

Form, Standings, Stats

Italy

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Italy 0-0 Turkey
Tuesday, June 4 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Bosnia-Herzegovina

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: England 3-0 Bosnia H'vina
Monday, June 3 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 78.48%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 7.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.39%) and 1-0 (10.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.79%), while for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win it was 0-1 (2.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Italy would win this match.

Result
ItalyDrawBosnia-Herzegovina
78.48% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)14.29% (0.004999999999999 0)7.22% (0.0221 0.02)
Both teams to score 43.2% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.17% (0.063000000000002 0.06)38.82% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.86% (0.067 0.07)61.13% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Italy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)8% (-0.0071000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.8% (0.022000000000006 0.02)28.19% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.96% (0.103 0.1)53.04% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.32% (0.065 0.06)86.67% (-0.062999999999988 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Italy 78.47%
    Bosnia-Herzegovina 7.22%
    Draw 14.29%
ItalyDrawBosnia-Herzegovina
2-0 @ 13.53% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 11.39% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 10.71% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.58% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.23% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 7.2% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.56% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 3.64% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
5-1 @ 2.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.53% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
6-1 @ 0.97% (0.003 0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 78.47%
1-1 @ 6.79% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-0 @ 4.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.72% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 14.29%
0-1 @ 2.69%
1-2 @ 2.15% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 7.22%

How you voted: Italy vs Bosnia H'vina

Italy
82.8%
Draw
9.7%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
7.5%
93
Head to Head
Nov 18, 2020 7.45pm
League A
Bosnia H'vina
0-2
Italy

Kadusic (62')
Belotti (22'), Berardi (68')
Romagnoli (64'), Berardi (65')
> Preview
Sep 4, 2020 7.45pm
League A
Italy
1-1
Bosnia H'vina
Sensi (67')
Belotti (65'), Zaniolo (80'), Bonucci (80')
Dzeko (57')
Cimirot (80')
> Preview
Nov 15, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Bosnia H'vina
0-3
Italy

Kovacevic (79')
Acerbi (21'), Insigne (37'), Belotti (52')
Bernardeschi (25'), Bonucci (64')
> Match Report
Jun 11, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Italy
2-1
Bosnia H'vina
Insigne (49'), Verratti (86')
Jorginho (14')
Dzeko (32')
Besic (43'), Civic (44'), Saric (62'), Dzeko (93')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!