UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League A

Sep 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Amsterdam ArenA

Netherlands
2 - 2
Germany

Reijnders (2'), Dumfries (50')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Undav (38'), Kimmich (45+3')
Schlotterbeck (14'), Tah (24'), Raum (32'), Wirtz (86')

Reaction

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Sep 11, 14:58

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Netherlands

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Netherlands 5-2 Bosnia H'vina
Saturday, September 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Austria	3	2	6
2	France	3	1	5
3	Netherlands	3	0	4
4	Poland	3	-3	1

Germany

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Germany 5-0 Hungary
Saturday, September 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Germany	3	6	7
2	Switzerland	3	2	5
3	Hungary	3	-3	3
4	Scotland	3	-5	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Netherlands had a probability of 37.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Netherlands win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Netherlands	Draw	Germany
37.02% ( 0.11)	25.46% ( 0.01)	37.52% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 56.12% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.23% (

-0.06)

47.77% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.04% (

-0.06)

69.96% (

0.06)

Netherlands Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.77% (

0.03)

25.22% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.03% (

0.04)

59.96% (

-0.04)

Germany Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.05% (

-0.1)

24.95% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.41% (

-0.14)

59.59% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Netherlands 37.02%

Germany 37.52%

Draw 25.46%

Netherlands	Draw	Germany
1-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.74% Total : 37.02%	1-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.46%	0-1 @ 8.74% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.79% Total : 37.52%