Nations League
Netherlands
Sep 10, 2024 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Amsterdam ArenA
Germany
  • Tijjani Reijnders 2' goal
  • Denzel Dumfries 50' goal
  • yellowcard Nico Schlotterbeck 14'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Tah 24'
  • yellowcard David Raum 32'
  • goal Deniz Undav 38'
  • goal Joshua Kimmich 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Florian Wirtz 86'

Netherlands vs Germany - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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News

The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Netherlands

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 7, 2024 7.45pm
Netherlands 5 - 2 Bosnia H'vina

Germany

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 7, 2024 7.45pm
Germany 5 - 0 Hungary

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Netherlands had a probability of 37.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Netherlands win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result

Netherlands 37.02% ▲ (+0.12)
Draw 25.46% ▲ (+0.02)
Germany 37.52% ▼ (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.12% ▼ (-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.23% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 47.77% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 30.04% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 69.96% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 4.5 14.7% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 85.3% ▲ (+0.04)

Netherlands Goals

Over 0.5 74.77% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 25.22% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 40.03% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 59.96% ▼ (-0.05)

Germany Goals

Over 0.5 75.05% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 0.5 24.95% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 1.5 40.41% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 1.5 59.59% ▲ (+0.14)

Score analysis

Netherlands 37.02%
Draw 25.46%
Germany 37.52%
Netherlands
1-0 @ 8.67% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 8.29% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.97% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.81% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 37.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.03% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.29% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.75% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.46%
Germany
0-1 @ 8.74% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.35% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.07% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 37.52%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Germany
Mar 26, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt am Main)
Netherlands
  • Maximilian Mittelstadt 11' goal
  • Robert Andrich 53' yellowcard
  • Toni Kroos 66' yellowcard
  • Niclas Fullkrug 85' goal
  • goal Joey Veerman 4'
  • yellowcard Daley Blind 17'
International Friendlies
Netherlands
Mar 29, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Germany
  • Memphis Depay 29' yellowcard
  • Steven Bergwijn 68' goal
  • Frenkie de Jong 86' yellowcard
  • goal Thomas Muller 45'+1'
  • yellowcard David Raum 83'
  • yellowcard Antonio Rudiger 89'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Germany
Sep 6, 2019 7.45pm
2
4
HT : 1 0
FT
Netherlands
  • Serge Gnabry 9' goal
  • Joshua Kimmich 35' yellowcard
  • Toni Kroos 73' goal
  • yellowcard Memphis Depay 35'
  • yellowcard Marten de Roon 49'
  • goal Frenkie de Jong 59'
  • goal Jonathan Tah 66' (OG)
  • yellowcard Frenkie de Jong 72'
  • goal Donyell Malen 79'
  • goal Georginio Wijnaldum 91'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Netherlands
Mar 24, 2019 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT
Germany
  • Daley Blind 38' yellowcard
  • Matthijs de Ligt 48' goal
  • Memphis Depay 63' goal
  • goal Leroy Sane 15'
  • goal Serge Gnabry 34'
  • goal Nico Schulz 90'
Nations League
Germany
Nov 19, 2018 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT
Netherlands
  • Timo Werner 9' goal
  • Mats Hummels 14' yellowcard
  • Leroy Sane 20' goal
  • Toni Kroos 52' yellowcard
  • Joshua Kimmich 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Georginio Wijnaldum 38'
  • goal Quincy Promes 85'
  • goal Virgil van Dijk 90'
Rome Open
Germany
Nov 19, 2018 7.45pm
Netherlands
  • Timo Werner 9' goal
  • Mats Hummels 14' yellowcard
  • Leroy Sane 20' goal
  • yellowcard Georginio Wijnaldum 38'

Form Data

Netherlands 5 - 2 Bosnia H'vina
Netherlands 1 - 2 England
Netherlands 2 - 1 Turkey
Romania 0 - 3 Netherlands
Netherlands 2 - 3 Austria
Netherlands 0 - 0 France
Germany 5 - 0 Hungary
Spain 2 - 1 Germany
Germany 2 - 0 Denmark
Switzerland 1 - 1 Germany
Germany 2 - 0 Hungary
Germany 5 - 1 Scotland

Build-up

Predicted Lineups