UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League A

Sep 7, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Merkur Spiel-Arena

Germany
5 - 0
Hungary

Fullkrug (27'), Musiala (58'), Wirtz (66'), Pavlovic (77'), Havertz (81' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Nego (9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Germany and Hungary, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Germany could line up for Saturday's Nations League clash with Hungary.

Form, Standings, Stats

Germany

All competitions

Last Game: Spain 2-1 Germany
Friday, July 5 at 5pm in European Championship

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Germany	3	6	7
2	Switzerland	3	2	5
3	Hungary	3	-3	3
4	Scotland	3	-5	1

Hungary

All competitions

Last Game: Scotland 0-1 Hungary
Sunday, June 23 at 8pm in European Championship

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Germany	3	6	7
2	Switzerland	3	2	5
3	Hungary	3	-3	3
4	Scotland	3	-5	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 56.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Hungary had a probability of 20.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Hungary win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.

Result
Germany	Draw	Hungary
56.53% ( -0.27)	22.83% ( 0.07)	20.65% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 53.28% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.86% (

-0.03)

46.15% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.56% (

-0.03)

68.45% (

0.04)

Germany Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.89% (

-0.11)

16.12% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.47% (

-0.19)

45.53% (

0.2)

Hungary Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.52% (

0.18)

36.48% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.73% (

0.18)

73.27% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

Germany 56.53%

Hungary 20.65%

Draw 22.82%

Germany	Draw	Hungary
1-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.8% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.29% Total : 56.53%	1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.82%	0-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.76% Total : 20.65%