MX23RW : Sunday, October 6 13:31:38| >> :60:1723:1723:
UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Germany national football team
Nations League | League A
Sep 7, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Merkur Spiel-Arena
Hungary national football team

Germany
5 - 0
Hungary

Fullkrug (27'), Musiala (58'), Wirtz (66'), Pavlovic (77'), Havertz (81' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nego (9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Germany and Hungary, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Germany could line up for Saturday's Nations League clash with Hungary.

Form, Standings, Stats

Germany

All competitions
Last Game: Spain 2-1 Germany
Friday, July 5 at 5pm in European Championship

Hungary

All competitions
Last Game: Scotland 0-1 Hungary
Sunday, June 23 at 8pm in European Championship

We said: Germany 2-1 Hungary

 Germany are yet to win the Nations League - or even progress beyond the group phase - in three previous attempts, but they should be among the favourites to prevail next June. With an abundance of attacking talent available, Julian Nagelsmann's men are set to beat a stubborn Hungary side again on Saturday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 56.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Hungary had a probability of 20.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Hungary win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.

Result
GermanyDrawHungary
56.53% (-0.27 -0.27) 22.83% (0.068999999999999 0.07) 20.65% (0.204 0.2)
Both teams to score 53.28% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.86% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)46.15% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.56% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)68.45% (0.036999999999992 0.04)
Germany Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.89% (-0.105 -0.11)16.12% (0.108 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.47% (-0.193 -0.19)45.53% (0.195 0.2)
Hungary Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.52% (0.184 0.18)36.48% (-0.182 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.73% (0.184 0.18)73.27% (-0.184 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Germany 56.53%
    Hungary 20.65%
    Draw 22.82%
GermanyDrawHungary
1-0 @ 10.73% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.8% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.01% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.96% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.74% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.72% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 56.53%
1-1 @ 10.82% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.88% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.98% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.82%
0-1 @ 5.93% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.46% (0.043 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.99% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.83% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 20.65%

How you voted: Germany vs Hungary

Germany
79.0%
Draw
14.5%
Hungary
6.5%
200
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> Match Report
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> Preview
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> Preview
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