Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 82.12%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 6.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.22%) and 0-4 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.54%), while for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win it was 1-0 (1.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.