Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 86.54%. A draw had a probability of 9.7% and a win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 3.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.41%) and 4-0 (10.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.59%), while for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win it was 0-1 (1.53%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.