World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Mar 24, 2025 at 5pm UK

S. Dariaus ir S. Gireno stadionas

Lithuania
2 - 2
Finland

Kucys (39'), Gineitis (69')
Girdvainis (15'), Gineitis (70'), Milasius (73')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Kairinen (3'), Pohjanpalo (17' pen.)
Tenho (42'), Ivanov (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying clash between Lithuania and Finland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lithuania

Last Game: Poland 1-0 Lithuania
Friday, March 21 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

Finland

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Malta 0-1 Finland
Friday, March 21 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

Current League B2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	0	0	0
2	Republic of Ireland	0	0	0
3	Greece	0	0	0
4	Finland	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lithuania win with a probability of 35.66%. A win for Finland had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lithuania win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Finland win was 0-1 (11.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Lithuania	Draw	Finland
35.66% ( -0.75)	28.85% ( 0.01)	35.48% ( 0.74)

Both teams to score 45.29% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.68% (

-0.03)

61.32% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.77% (

-0.02)

81.23% (

0.02)

Lithuania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.36% (

-0.5)

32.64% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.81% (

-0.56)

69.19% (

0.56)

Finland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.24% (

0.47)

32.76% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.68% (

0.53)

69.32% (

-0.53)

Score Analysis

Lithuania 35.66%

Finland 35.48%

Draw 28.85%

Lithuania	Draw	Finland
1-0 @ 11.97% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.66% Total : 35.66%	1-1 @ 13.36% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.85%	0-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 7.46% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.63% Total : 35.48%