MX23RW : Monday, April 28 00:29:59| >> :600:902112:902112:
Lithuania national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2025 at 5pm UK
S. Dariaus ir S. Gireno stadionas
Finland national football team

Lithuania
2 - 2
Finland

Kucys (39'), Gineitis (69')
Girdvainis (15'), Gineitis (70'), Milasius (73')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Kairinen (3'), Pohjanpalo (17' pen.)
Tenho (42'), Ivanov (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying clash between Lithuania and Finland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Poland 1-0 Lithuania
Friday, March 21 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Malta 0-1 Finland
Friday, March 21 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

We said: Lithuania 1-2 Finland

The onus will be on Finland to attack, as they must keep compiling points against Group G's minnows if they are to make it through to the World Cup playoffs. While Lithuania may be able to exploit any space, an overall deficit of quality in key areas should result in yet another defeat - their ninth in a row. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lithuania win with a probability of 35.66%. A win for Finland had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lithuania win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Finland win was 0-1 (11.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
LithuaniaDrawFinland
35.66% (-0.752 -0.75) 28.85% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 35.48% (0.739 0.74)
Both teams to score 45.29% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.68% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)61.32% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.77% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)81.23% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.36% (-0.50099999999999 -0.5)32.64% (0.5 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.81% (-0.564 -0.56)69.19% (0.563 0.56)
Finland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.24% (0.47200000000001 0.47)32.76% (-0.473 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.68% (0.526 0.53)69.32% (-0.527 -0.53)
Score Analysis
    Lithuania 35.66%
    Finland 35.48%
    Draw 28.85%
LithuaniaDrawFinland
1-0 @ 11.97% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 7.48% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-0 @ 6.7% (-0.179 -0.18)
3-1 @ 2.79% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.5% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 35.66%
1-1 @ 13.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.85%
0-1 @ 11.93% (0.17 0.17)
1-2 @ 7.46% (0.098 0.1)
0-2 @ 6.66% (0.177 0.18)
1-3 @ 2.77% (0.071 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.48% (0.097 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.55% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 35.48%

How you voted: Lithuania vs Finland

Lithuania
16.7%
Draw
16.7%
Finland
66.7%
138
rhs 2.0
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