World Cup Qualifying - Europe
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-
Edvinas Girdvainis
15'
-
Armandas Kucys
39'
-
Gvidas Gineitis
69'
-
Gvidas Gineitis
70'
-
Titas Milasius
73'
-
Kaan Kairinen
3'
-
Joel Pohjanpalo
17'
-
Miro Tenho
42'
-
Robert Ivanov
45'
Lithuania vs Finland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lithuania win with a probability of 35.66%. A win for Finland had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lithuania win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Finland win was 0-1 (11.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
Result
Lithuania
35.66%
▼
(-0.76)
Draw
28.85%
▲
(+0.02)
Finland
35.48%
▲
(+0.74)
Both Teams to Score:
45.29%
▼
(-0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
38.68%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
61.32%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 3.5
18.77%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
81.23%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 4.5
7.64%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 4.5
92.36%
▲
(+0.01)
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5
67.36%
▼
(-0.51)
Under 0.5
32.64%
▲
(+0.50)
Over 1.5
30.81%
▼
(-0.57)
Under 1.5
69.19%
▲
(+0.57)
Finland Goals
Over 0.5
67.24%
▲
(+0.48)
Under 0.5
32.76%
▼
(-0.48)
Over 1.5
30.68%
▲
(+0.53)
Under 1.5
69.32%
▼
(-0.53)
Score analysis
Lithuania
35.66%
Draw
28.85%
Finland
35.48%
Lithuania
1-0
@
11.97%
▼
(-0.15)
2-1 @ 7.48% ▼ (-0.11)
2-0 @ 6.7% ▼ (-0.18)
3-1 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 35.66%
2-1 @ 7.48% ▼ (-0.11)
2-0 @ 6.7% ▼ (-0.18)
3-1 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 35.66%
Draw
1-1
@
13.36%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 10.69% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.85%
0-0 @ 10.69% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.85%
Finland
0-1
@
11.93%
▲
(+0.17)
1-2 @ 7.46% ▲ (+0.10)
0-2 @ 6.66% ▲ (+0.18)
1-3 @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.08)
0-3 @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.10)
2-3 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 35.48%
1-2 @ 7.46% ▲ (+0.10)
0-2 @ 6.66% ▲ (+0.18)
1-3 @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.08)
0-3 @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.10)
2-3 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 35.48%