Nations League
Spain
Mar 23, 2025 7.45pm
3
3
HT : 1 0
ET Estadio de Mestalla
Netherlands
  • Mikel Oyarzabal 8' goal
  • Robin Le Normand 53' yellowcard
  • Mikel Oyarzabal 67' goal
  • Lamine Yamal 103' goal
  • Unai Simon 108' yellowcard
  • goal Memphis Depay 54'
  • yellowcard Memphis Depay 60'
  • goal Ian Maatsen 79'
  • goal Xavi Simons 109'

Spain vs Netherlands - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Mar 20, 2025 7.45pm
Netherlands 2 - 2 Spain

Netherlands

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Mar 20, 2025 7.45pm
Netherlands 2 - 2 Spain

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 53.78%. A win for Netherlands had a probability of 23.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Netherlands win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%).

Result

Spain 53.78% ▼ (-0.26)
Draw 22.67% ▲ (+0.09)
Netherlands 23.55% ▲ (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.82% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.98% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 2.5 42.01% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 3.5 35.58% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 3.5 64.42% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 4.5 18.7% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 4.5 81.29% ▲ (+0.17)

Spain Goals

Over 0.5 84.39% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 0.5 15.6% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 1.5 55.41% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 1.5 44.58% ▲ (+0.31)

Netherlands Goals

Over 0.5 68.51% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 31.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 32.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 67.87% ▼ (-0.03)

Score analysis

Spain 53.78%
Draw 22.66%
Netherlands 23.55%
Spain
2-1 @ 9.8% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.12% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 8.48% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.07% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 5.25% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 53.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.54% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.66% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.66%
Netherlands
1-2 @ 6.09% ▲ (+0.04)
0-1 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.18%
0-3 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 23.55%

Head to Head

Nations League
Netherlands
Mar 20, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion Feijenoord
Spain
  • Cody Gakpo 28' goal
  • Tijjani Reijnders 46' goal
  • Cody Gakpo 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Virgil van Dijk 79' yellowcard
  • Jorrel Hato 81' redcard
  • goal Nico Williams 9'
  • yellowcard Dean Huijsen 61'
  • yellowcard Ayoze Perez 72'
  • goal Mikel Merino 90'+3'
International Friendlies
Netherlands
Nov 11, 2020 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
Spain
  • Donny van de Beek 47' goal
  • Donny van de Beek 89' yellowcard
  • goal Sergio Canales 18'
  • yellowcard Sergio Reguilon 49'
  • yellowcard Dani Olmo 84'
International Friendlies
Netherlands
Mar 29, 2020 6.00pm
Spain
International Friendlies
Netherlands
Mar 31, 2015 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Spain
  • Stefan de Vrij 13' goal
  • Davey Klaassen 16' goal
World Cup
Spain
Jun 13, 2014 8.00pm
1
5
HT : 1 1
FT Itaipava Arena Fonte Nova
Netherlands
  • Xabi Alonso 27' goal
  • Iker Casillas 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan de Guzman 25'
  • yellowcard Stefan de Vrij 41'
  • goal Robin van Persie 44'
  • goal Arjen Robben 53'
  • goal Stefan de Vrij 64'
  • yellowcard Robin van Persie 66'
  • goal Robin van Persie 72'
  • goal Arjen Robben 80'
European Under-21s Championship
Spain
Jun 12, 2013 5.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
Netherlands
  • Alvaro Morata 0' goal
  • Isco 0' goal
  • Alvaro Vasquez 0' goal

Form Data

Netherlands 2 - 2 Spain
Spain 3 - 2 Switzerland
Denmark 1 - 2 Spain
Spain 3 - 0 Serbia
Spain 1 - 0 Denmark
Switzerland 1 - 4 Spain
Netherlands 2 - 2 Spain
Bosnia H'vina 1 - 1 Netherlands
Netherlands 4 - 0 Hungary
Germany 1 - 0 Netherlands
Hungary 1 - 1 Netherlands
Netherlands 2 - 2 Germany

Build-up

News
Predicted Lineups