Nations League
Oct 12, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Enrique Roca de Murcia
  • Martin Zubimendi 79' goal
  • David Raya 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Morten Hjulmand 23'
  • yellowcard Victor Kristansen 85'
  • yellowcard Alexander Bah 88'
  • yellowcard Victor Nelsson 90'+3'

Spain vs Denmark - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 8, 2024 7.45pm
Switzerland 1 - 4 Spain

Denmark

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 8, 2024 5.00pm
Denmark 2 - 0 Serbia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 47.98%. A win for Denmark had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Denmark win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.

Result

Spain 47.98% (+0.21)
Draw 23.77% (-0.02)
Denmark 28.26% (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.71% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.05% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 42.96% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 34.64% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 65.36% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 18% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 82% (+0.03)

Spain Goals

Over 0.5 81.93% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 18.07% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 51.01% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 48.99% (-0.12)

Denmark Goals

Over 0.5 71.66% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 28.34% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 35.93% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 64.07% (+0.18)

Score analysis

Spain 47.98%
Draw 23.76%
Denmark 28.26%
Spain
2-1 @ 9.45% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.76% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 7.5% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.39% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.27% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.4%
4-1 @ 2.31% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.83% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.45% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 47.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.04% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.96% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.12% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.76%
Denmark
1-2 @ 6.97% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 6.46% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.07% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.93% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 28.26%