Nations League
Serbia
Sep 5, 2024 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Rajko Mitic
Spain
  • Strahinja Erakovic 5' yellowcard
  • 34' goal
  • Veljko Birmancevic 43' yellowcard
  • Kristijan Belic 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ayoze Perez 21'
  • yellowcard Dani Carvajal 27'
  • yellowcard Lamine Yamal 41'
  • yellowcard Robin Le Normand 59'
  • yellowcard Dani Olmo 67'
  • yellowcard Luis De la Fuente Castillo 85'

Serbia vs Spain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Serbia

All competitions

Spain

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 55.86%. A win for Serbia had a probability of 22.16% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Serbia win was 2-1 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result

Serbia 22.16% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 21.97% ▼ (-0.01)
Spain 55.86% ▲ (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.4% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.58% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 40.42% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 37.2% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 62.8% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 4.5 19.94% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 80.06% ▲ (+0.02)

Serbia Goals

Over 0.5 68.2% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 0.5 31.8% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 31.76% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 68.24% ▲ (+0.07)

Spain Goals

Over 0.5 85.63% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 14.36% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 57.76% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 42.24% ▼ (-0.03)

Score analysis

Serbia 22.16%
Draw 21.97%
Spain 55.86%
Serbia
2-1 @ 5.82% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 5.23% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 22.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.15%
2-2 @ 5.64% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.57% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.97%
Spain
1-2 @ 9.85% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 8.86% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 8.6% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 6.37% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 5.56% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.65% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.7% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.01)
0-5 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 55.86%

Form Data

Denmark 0 - 0 Serbia
Slovenia 1 - 1 Serbia
Serbia 0 - 1 England
Sweden 0 - 3 Serbia
Austria 2 - 1 Serbia
Cyprus 0 - 1 Serbia
Spain 2 - 1 England
Spain 2 - 1 France
Spain 2 - 1 Germany
Spain 4 - 1 Georgia
Albania 0 - 1 Spain
Spain 1 - 0 Italy

Build-up

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