UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League A

Sep 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadion Rajko Mitic

Serbia
0 - 0
Spain

Erakovic (5'), Birmancevic (43'), Belic (69')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Perez (21'), Carvajal (27'), Yamal (41'), Le Normand (59'), Olmo (67'), De la Fuente Castillo (85')

Reaction

Spain manager Luis de la Fuente pictured on July 14, 2024

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Sep 6, 13:33

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Serbia

All competitions

Last Game: Denmark 0-0 Serbia
Tuesday, June 25 at 8pm in European Championship

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	3	1	5
2	Denmark	3	0	3
3	Slovenia	3	0	3
4	Serbia	3	-1	2

Spain

All competitions

Last Game: Spain 2-1 England
Sunday, July 14 at 8pm in European Championship

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain	3	5	9
2	Italy	3	0	4
3	Croatia	3	-3	2
4	Albania	3	-2	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 55.86%. A win for Serbia had a probability of 22.16% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Serbia win was 2-1 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Serbia	Draw	Spain
22.16% ( -0.05)	21.97% ( -0.01)	55.86% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 58.4% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.58% (

-0.02)

40.42% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.2% (

-0.02)

62.8% (

0.02)

Serbia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.2% (

-0.06)

31.8% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.76% (

-0.07)

68.24% (

0.06)

Spain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.63% (

0.01)

14.36% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.76% (

0.02)

42.24% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Serbia 22.16%

Spain 55.86%

Draw 21.97%

Serbia	Draw	Spain
2-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.23% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 22.16%	1-1 @ 10.15% 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.57% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.97%	1-2 @ 9.85% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.6% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.37% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.56% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.65% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.09% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.77% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.2% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 55.86%