UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League A

Sep 8, 2024 at 5pm UK

Parken

Denmark
2 - 0
Serbia

Gronbaek (36'), Poulsen (61')
Andersen (51'), Kristansen (59')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lukic (70'), Mitrovic (71'), Pavlovic (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Denmark and Serbia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Denmark

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Denmark 2-0 Switzerland
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	3	1	5
2	Denmark	3	0	3
3	Slovenia	3	0	3
4	Serbia	3	-1	2

Serbia

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Serbia 0-0 Spain
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	3	1	5
2	Denmark	3	0	3
3	Slovenia	3	0	3
4	Serbia	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Serbia had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Serbia win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Denmark would win this match.

Result
Denmark	Draw	Serbia
42.2% ( -0.01)	27.67% ( 0)	30.13% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 47.5% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.96% (

-0)

58.03% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.28% (

-0)

78.71% (

Denmark Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.84% (

-0.01)

27.15% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.44% (

-0.01)

62.55% (

0.01)

Serbia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.21% (

0.01)

34.79% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.48% (

0.01)

71.52% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Denmark 42.2%

Serbia 30.13%

Draw 27.67%

Denmark	Draw	Serbia
1-0 @ 12.31% 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.03% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.68% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 1.93% Total : 42.2%	1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 9.45% 2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.67%	0-1 @ 9.97% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.27% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.18% Total : 30.13%