UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League A

Sep 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Parken

Denmark
2 - 0
Switzerland

Dorgu (82'), Hojbjerg (90+2')
Gronbaek (23'), Hjulmand (83'), Akanji (83'), Vestergaard (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Widmer (47'), Xhaka (83'), Hojbjerg (83'), Embolo (86')
Elvedi (52'), Xhaka (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Denmark and Switzerland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Denmark

All competitions

Last Game: Germany 2-0 Denmark
Saturday, June 29 at 8pm in European Championship

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	3	1	5
2	Denmark	3	0	3
3	Slovenia	3	0	3
4	Serbia	3	-1	2

Switzerland

All competitions

Last Game: England 1-1 Switzerland (5-3 pen.)
Saturday, July 6 at 5pm in European Championship

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Germany	3	6	7
2	Switzerland	3	2	5
3	Hungary	3	-3	3
4	Scotland	3	-5	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Switzerland had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Switzerland win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Denmark would win this match.

Result
Denmark	Draw	Switzerland
41.8% ( -0.56)	27.86% ( 0.15)	30.35% ( 0.42)

Both teams to score 47.07% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.37% (

-0.38)

58.63% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.82% (

-0.29)

79.18% (

0.3)

Denmark Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.35% (

-0.48)

27.65% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.8% (

-0.62)

63.2% (

0.62)

Switzerland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.06% (

0.11)

34.94% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.32% (

0.12)

71.68% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Denmark 41.8%

Switzerland 30.34%

Draw 27.86%

Denmark	Draw	Switzerland
1-0 @ 12.42% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.84% Total : 41.8%	1-1 @ 13.06% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.86%	0-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.15% Total : 30.34%