Nations League
Netherlands
Mar 20, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion Feijenoord
Spain
  • Cody Gakpo 28' goal
  • Tijjani Reijnders 46' goal
  • Cody Gakpo 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Virgil van Dijk 79' yellowcard
  • Jorrel Hato 81' redcard
  • goal Nico Williams 9'
  • yellowcard Dean Huijsen 61'
  • yellowcard Ayoze Perez 72'
  • goal Mikel Merino 90'+3'

Netherlands vs Spain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Netherlands

All competitions

Spain

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Netherlands had a probability of 35.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Netherlands win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result

Netherlands 35.98% ▼ (-1.40)
Draw 25.21% ▲ (+0.13)
Spain 38.81% ▲ (+1.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.95% ▼ (-0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.33% ▼ (-0.65)
Under 2.5 46.67% ▲ (+0.65)
Over 3.5 31.06% ▼ (-0.61)
Under 3.5 68.94% ▲ (+0.61)
Over 4.5 15.41% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 4.5 84.59% ▲ (+0.44)

Netherlands Goals

Over 0.5 74.7% ▼ (-1.07)
Under 0.5 25.3% ▲ (+1.07)
Over 1.5 39.93% ▼ (-1.49)
Under 1.5 60.07% ▲ (+1.49)

Spain Goals

Over 0.5 76.23% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 0.5 23.76% ▼ (-0.38)
Over 1.5 42.09% ▲ (+0.55)
Under 1.5 57.91% ▼ (-0.54)

Score analysis

Netherlands 35.98%
Draw 25.2%
Spain 38.81%
Netherlands
1-0 @ 8.26% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.16% ▼ (-0.20)
2-0 @ 5.68% ▼ (-0.20)
3-1 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.21)
3-2 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.12)
3-0 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.18)
4-1 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 35.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.87% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 6.01% ▲ (+0.17)
2-2 @ 5.86% ▼ (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.2%
Spain
0-1 @ 8.64% ▲ (+0.33)
1-2 @ 8.53% ▲ (+0.16)
0-2 @ 6.21% ▲ (+0.30)
1-3 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.12)
0-3 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.18)
2-3 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.06)
0-4 @ 1.07% ▼ (-98.44)
2-4 @ 1.01% ▼ (-98.90)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 38.81%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Netherlands
Nov 11, 2020 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
Spain
  • Donny van de Beek 47' goal
  • Donny van de Beek 89' yellowcard
  • goal Sergio Canales 18'
  • yellowcard Sergio Reguilon 49'
  • yellowcard Dani Olmo 84'
International Friendlies
Netherlands
Mar 29, 2020 6.00pm
Spain
International Friendlies
Netherlands
Mar 31, 2015 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Spain
  • Stefan de Vrij 13' goal
  • Davey Klaassen 16' goal
World Cup
Spain
Jun 13, 2014 8.00pm
1
5
HT : 1 1
FT Itaipava Arena Fonte Nova
Netherlands
  • Xabi Alonso 27' goal
  • Iker Casillas 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan de Guzman 25'
  • yellowcard Stefan de Vrij 41'
  • goal Robin van Persie 44'
  • goal Arjen Robben 53'
  • goal Stefan de Vrij 64'
  • yellowcard Robin van Persie 66'
  • goal Robin van Persie 72'
  • goal Arjen Robben 80'
European Under-21s Championship
Spain
Jun 12, 2013 5.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
Netherlands
  • Alvaro Morata 0' goal
  • Isco 0' goal
  • Alvaro Vasquez 0' goal
World Cup
Netherlands
Jul 11, 2010 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
ET FNB Stadium
Spain
  • goal Andres Iniesta 116'

Form Data

Bosnia H'vina 1 - 1 Netherlands
Netherlands 4 - 0 Hungary
Germany 1 - 0 Netherlands
Hungary 1 - 1 Netherlands
Netherlands 2 - 2 Germany
Netherlands 5 - 2 Bosnia H'vina
Spain 3 - 2 Switzerland
Denmark 1 - 2 Spain
Spain 3 - 0 Serbia
Spain 1 - 0 Denmark
Switzerland 1 - 4 Spain
Serbia 0 - 0 Spain

Build-up

Predicted Lineups