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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Spain national football team
Nations League | League A
Nov 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio Olimpico de Sevilla
Switzerland national football team

Spain
3 - 2
Switzerland

Pino (32'), Gil (68'), Zaragoza (90+3' pen.)
Pino (62'), Zaragoza (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Monteiro (63'), Zeqiri (85' pen.)
Comert (81')

The Match

Match Report

Bryan Zaragoza nets n injury-time winner from the penalty spot as Spain conclude the UEFA Nations League group phase with an enthralling 3-2 victory over Switzerland.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Spain and Switzerland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Spain could line up against Switzerland in their UEFA Nations League contest on Monday night.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Denmark 1-2 Spain
Friday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Switzerland

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Switzerland 1-1 Serbia
Friday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 55.08%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Switzerland had a probability of 20.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Switzerland win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.

Result
SpainDrawSwitzerland
55.08% (0.216 0.22) 24.4% (-0.146 -0.15) 20.52% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Both teams to score 48.27% (0.32 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.28% (0.474 0.47)52.72% (-0.474 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.64% (0.405 0.4)74.35% (-0.40300000000001 -0.4)
Spain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.95% (0.265 0.27)19.05% (-0.263 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.36% (0.439 0.44)50.63% (-0.436 -0.44)
Switzerland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.63% (0.202 0.2)40.37% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.01% (0.181 0.18)76.99% (-0.18000000000001 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Spain 55.07%
    Switzerland 20.52%
    Draw 24.4%
SpainDrawSwitzerland
1-0 @ 12.75% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 10.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.84% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.3% (0.063 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.42% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.2% (0.044 0.04)
4-2 @ 1% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3%
Total : 55.07%
1-1 @ 11.56% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.69% (-0.146 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.35% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 24.4%
0-1 @ 6.98% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-2 @ 5.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.16% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.59% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 20.52%

How you voted: Spain vs Switzerland

Spain
86.2%
Draw
8.8%
Switzerland
5.0%
181
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> Match Report
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> Preview
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> Preview
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Freuler (77')
Zakaria (8' og.)
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> Match Report
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> Preview
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