Nations League
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-
Yeremy Pino
32'
-
Yeremy Pino
62'
-
Bryan Gil
68'
-
Bryan Zaragoza
84'
-
Bryan Zaragoza
90'+3'
-
Joel Monteiro
63'
-
Eray Comert
81'
-
Andi Zeqiri
85'
Spain vs Switzerland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F47%2Fbryan-zaragoza.jpg)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F46%2Fayoze-perez.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F25%2Fnico-williams_1.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 55.08%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Switzerland had a probability of 20.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Switzerland win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.
Result
Spain
55.08%
▲
(+0.22)
Draw
24.4%
▼
(-0.15)
Switzerland
20.52%
▼
(-0.07)
Both Teams to Score:
48.27%
▲
(+0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.28%
▲
(+0.48)
Under 2.5
52.72%
▼
(-0.48)
Over 3.5
25.64%
▲
(+0.41)
Under 3.5
74.35%
▼
(-0.41)
Over 4.5
11.77%
▲
(+0.26)
Under 4.5
88.23%
▼
(-0.26)
Spain Goals
Over 0.5
80.95%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 0.5
19.05%
▼
(-0.27)
Over 1.5
49.36%
▲
(+0.44)
Under 1.5
50.63%
▼
(-0.44)
Switzerland Goals
Over 0.5
59.63%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 0.5
40.37%
▼
(-0.21)
Over 1.5
23.01%
▲
(+0.19)
Under 1.5
76.99%
▼
(-0.19)
Score analysis
Spain
55.07%
Draw
24.4%
Switzerland
20.52%
Spain
1-0
@
12.75%
▼
(-0.14)
2-0 @ 10.57% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.59% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 5.84% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.3% ▲ (+0.07)
4-0 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 4%
Total : 55.07%
2-0 @ 10.57% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.59% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 5.84% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.3% ▲ (+0.07)
4-0 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 4%
Total : 55.07%
Draw
1-1
@
11.56%
▼
(-0.06)
0-0 @ 7.69% ▼ (-0.15)
2-2 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 24.4%
0-0 @ 7.69% ▼ (-0.15)
2-2 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 24.4%
Switzerland
0-1
@
6.98%
▼
(-0.10)
1-2 @ 5.25% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 20.52%
1-2 @ 5.25% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 20.52%
Head to Head
Nations League
-
Ruben Vargas
18'
-
Zeki Amdouni
41'
-
Remo Freuler
52'
-
Gregory Wuthrich
53'
-
Joselu
4'
-
Fabian Ruiz
13'
-
Robin Le Normand
20'
-
Dani Carvajal
69'
-
Ferran Torres
69'
-
Fabian Ruiz
77'
-
Ferran Torres
80'
Nations League
-
Jordi Alba
55'
-
Manuel Akanji
21'
-
Breel Embolo
58'
Nations League
-
Xherdan Shaqiri
59'
-
Manuel Akanji
67'
-
Haris Seferovic
90'
-
Djibril Sow
90'+2'
-
Pablo Sarabia
13'
European Championship
-
Silvan Widmer
67'
-
Xherdan Shaqiri
68'
-
Remo Freuler
77'
-
Mario Gavranovic
120'+1'
-
Denis Zakaria
8'
(OG)
-
Aymeric Laporte
90'+3'
Nations League
-
Nico Elvedi
15'
-
Remo Freuler
26'
-
Breel Embolo
58'
-
Remo Freuler
72'
-
Nico Elvedi
79'
-
Gerard Moreno
89'
Nations League
-
Mikel Oyarzabal
14'
-
Mikel Merino
64'
-
Fabian Schar
30'
-
Remo Freuler
75'